Expected-utility voting in Taiwan's legislative elections: 1995, 1998, and 2001
In: International political science review: IPSR = Revue internationale de science politique : RISP, Band 26, Heft 4, S. 397-412
ISSN: 0192-5121
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In: International political science review: IPSR = Revue internationale de science politique : RISP, Band 26, Heft 4, S. 397-412
ISSN: 0192-5121
World Affairs Online
In: Political science, S. 1-22
ISSN: 2041-0611
In: Electoral Studies, Band 58, S. 94-102
In: Issues & studies: a social science quarterly on China, Taiwan, and East Asian affairs, Band 52, Heft 2, S. 1650007
ISSN: 2529-802X
It is widely believed that identity with Taiwanese or Chinese is the major cleavage in Taiwan. People who hold Taiwanese identity tend to vote for the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) and those who identify themselves as both Chinese and Taiwanese are likely to vote for the Kuomintang. As the proportion of Taiwanese identifiers increases, the geographical difference seems to persist. Whether national identity is associated with regional line and why they are correlated is a pressing question. This paper uses the 2012 presidential election survey data to explore the extent to which regional divide accounts for national identity. Using generalized linear mixed effect model (GLMM), this research finds minor regional divide in terms of ethnicity concentration and economic structure. However, ethnic background is influential on national identity while retrospective evaluation and democratic value are significant predictors. This mixed result suggests that people in Taiwan have united national identity should geographical difference remain or even decrease, and that we should remain watchful about the influence of democratic value and economic concern.
In: Party politics: an international journal for the study of political parties and political organizations, Band 11, Heft 1, S. 59-77
ISSN: 1460-3683
Conventional belief suggests that the ruling party in the 'single non-transferable voting' (SNTV) system can often coordinate legislative candidates through the allocation of resources, and previous research shows that both local factions and budget distribution influence the process of candidate coordination. Modeling the seat shares of the Kuomintang (KMT) in the 1992, 1995, 1998 and 2001 legislative elections, this article contends that the number of local factions and chairmen in parliament largely determines the KMT's seat gains. Evidence shows that the KMT was apt to coordinate candidates through the position of committee chairpersons in the Legislative Yuan, and its failure to do so in the 2001 election contributed to its fall.
In: Party politics: an international journal for the study of political parties and political organizations, Band 11, Heft 1, S. 59-78
ISSN: 1354-0688
In: Journal of Asian and African studies: JAAS
ISSN: 1745-2538
Most of the extant research on the relationship between democratic values and democratic support examine the issue from the perspective of the evolution of democratic culture and institutional learning. These studies conclude that it takes time for people to understand the essence of democracy and to support democracy. We argue that a certain value orientation is crucial to democratic support at some stages of democratic transition. To empirically examine the association between the different dimensions of democratic values and democratic support, we analyzed survey data from 1995 to 2020 in Taiwan. Based on item response theory, we found that, first, throughout that 25-year period, we can distinguish three dimensions of democratic values in Taiwan; second, Taiwanese considered fundamental human rights to be an essential democratic value; and finally, the curvilinear relationship between democratic support and separation of powers implies that Taiwanese people emphasize electoral democracy more than horizontal accountability after democratization is complete.
In: Asian journal of communication, Band 32, Heft 2, S. 111-130
ISSN: 1742-0911
In: Journal of Asian and African studies: JAAS, Band 43, Heft 6, S. 615-641
ISSN: 1745-2538
Since 1986, Taiwan has entered an era of party competition and witnessed the flourishing of political parties in terms of the number of parties and their relative strength. We find that the vacillation in the proportion of nonpartisanship is remarkable before and after the relinquishing of KMT dominance in 2000. We argue that partisans may conceal their party attachment if their parties fail to live up to their expectations. The experience of the changing Taiwanese electorate has theoretical implications for other consolidating democracies, especially the eastern European countries that also had one single dominant party before regime change.
In: International political science review: the journal of the International Political Science Association (IPSA) = Revue internationale de science politique, Band 26, Heft 4, S. 397-412
ISSN: 1460-373X
We propose, in this article, a model for multimember districts in which voting choice is a function of the product of relative benefits and the probability of breaking a tie between their preferred party and its trailing party. We transform people's perception of the parties' positions on specific issues in order to obtain the probability of each party winning. "Feeling thermometer" and "like/dislike" questions are employed to measure the perceived benefit that an individual might expect to receive from each party if elected. We test our model using the 1995, 1998, and 2001 legislative elections in Taiwan, simulating the level of closeness with logistic estimates. Based on the simulation, we identify four types of voting behavior: sincere, straightforward, irrational, and strategic. The study of these four types of voting behavior sheds light on party competition in Taiwan and provides models likely to be useful elsewhere as well.
In: International political science review: IPSR = Revue internationale de science politique : RISP, Band 26, Heft 4, S. 397-412
ISSN: 0192-5121
In: Political science quarterly: the journal of public and international affairs : a nonpartisan journal devoted to the study and analysis of government, politics and international affairs : PSQ
ISSN: 1538-165X
Abstract
Given the global reach of the COVID-19 pandemic, external factors play a critical role in containing its spread and prompt questions about how such threats affect a country's response. Taiwan has received recognition for its effective management of the early stages of the pandemic, but faced significant international obstruction, especially from China. This study examines the relationship between Taiwanese citizens' trust in China and their satisfaction with the government's COVID-19 policies by analyzing data from six rounds of the Taiwan Election and Democratization Study (TEDS) conducted between 2020 and 2022. This research reveals that public opinion about China can significantly influence people's satisfaction with domestic policies, particularly during crises like pandemics. Thus, factors beyond national borders can influence public satisfaction with public health policies. The findings contribute to existing literature on shaping public opinion under external threats and have broader implications for China's impact on Taiwan's domestic politics.
In: Asian journal of communication, Band 32, Heft 2, S. 71-74
ISSN: 1742-0911