USING DATA DROM THE CPS'S 1970 AND 1972 (US) ELECTION SURVEYS, THIS PAPER EMPLOYS MULTIPLE CLASSIFICATION ANALYSIS TO INVESTIGATE THE SOCIAL-STRUCTURAL SOURCES OF POPULAR DIVISION ON THE LAW AND ORDER ISSUE. A MAJOR FINDING IS THE GULF BETWEEN THE RACES. THE ELDERLY, FARMERS, THE LESSER EDUCATED, REPUBLICANS, WHITE SOUTHERNERS, AND FUNDAMENTALIST PROTESTANTS TEND TO BE "HARD-LINERS".
AbstractLast November, after a hiatus of more than 30 years, approximately 1,000 Cincinnati voters were invited to select candidates for city council using the Hare System of Proportional Representation (PR) In a unique exit‐poll experiment. The result: re‐adoption of PR in Cincinnati would necessitate changes in 1) how campaigns are conducted. 2) the size of party tickets, and 3) who gets elected. It might also affect how the city is governed.
A telephone survey was conducted after the fall 1982 elections to find out whether the order of questions affects Rs' responses to questions about how interested they are in the political campaign. Two sets of Rs (N = 574 & 576, respectively) were asked the same 2 questions (whether they voted & how interested they were in following the political campaign), but in different order. When asked how interested they were in following the political campaigns immediately after a question about whether or not they voted in the 1982 election, Rs were more likely to think they were interested in the campaign, especially if they claimed to have voted, than if they were asked about it immediately before the question on whether or not they had voted. The order effect appears, however, to depend on when the questions are asked. If asked within a few weeks of the election, there is little or no order effect. But as the memory of the campaign fades, the order of the questions makes a sizable difference in the results. Better educated Rs show a more pronounced order effect. In conclusion, a brief discussion is presented of the implications for the design of the interview schedule used in the American National Election Studies. 3 Tables, 9 References. Modified HA.
Extent to which random digit dialing telephone surveys can replicate results of surveys which use a complex sampling design and personal interviewing; based on a survey of crime victimization in Cincinnati, Ohio.
A report on the replication of a large, personal interview survey by means of a random digit dialing (RDD) telephone survey. The objective was to test the accuracy & efficiency of RDD surveys in comparison to the best traditional alternative. The personal interview survey was based on a complex probability sample of Cincinnati households, with the field work being done by the Census Bureau during Jan through Mar 1974. It was commissioned by the Law Enforcement Assistance Administration (LEAA) to collect information on crime victimizations, attitudes toward police, & perceptions of crime problems. All persons ages 12 & older (N = 19,903) from 9,708 households were interviewed. The Behavioral Sciences Laboratory at the U of Cincinnati, Ohio conducted the RDD telephone survey during Apr 1974 under a grant from the Police Foundation. The RDD questionnaire consisted of a large subset of items from the LEAA/Census instrument. It was administered to 1,639 persons in 800 households citywide, plus a supplemental sample of 1,147 persons from 662 households located in Police District 1 (a poor, rundown section of the city). The samples were compared on demographic characteristics, measures of crime victimization, & attitudes toward crime & the police. Chi-square & t-tests were used, as required, to test for sample differences. For the citywide sample, only education & perception of changes in US crime levels were significantly different at the .01 level, out of 20 tests made. The RDD sample had somewhat larger proportions of blacks & Fs. The RDD telephone survey was much less expensive per interview & permitted better supervision of the interviewers. These results indicate that RDD is an accurate & cost-effective alternative to traditional personal interviewing surveys for most research applications. 2 Tables. AA.
A multiple classification analysis was used to investigate the social-structural sources of popular division on the law & order issue. Data from the Center for Political Studies' 1970 & 1972 election surveys were used. Results revealed that (1) values were sharply defined by race, (2) elderly, farmers, the lesser educated, Republicans, white southerners, & fundamentalist Protestants displayed the most traditional, hard-line views on law & order, & (3) the widely accepted notion that Wc whites are most strongly in favor of law & order was not supported by the data. Multiple discriminant analysis was utilized to evaluate the importance of law & order as a campaign issue from 1968 to 1972. It was found that the issue did not become a pivot around which major partisan realignments could occur. 5 Tables. Modified HA.
USING THE SRC/CPS NATIONAL ELECTION SURVEYS FROM 1956 TO 1976, THIS PAPER INVESTIGATES THE EFFECT OF EDUCATION ON CONSISTENCY AMONG THE PUBLIC'S DOMESTIC POLICY OPINIONS. EVIDENCE INDICATES THAT EDUCATION HAS NEITHER A STRONG NOR A LINEAR EFFECT ON ISSUE CONSTRAINT OVER THE 20 YEARS COVERED BY THE DATA.
