National and subnational projections of elderly living arrangements: An application of the net transition probability macrosimulation model
In: Journal of population research, Band 24, Heft 2, S. 227-251
ISSN: 1835-9469
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In: Journal of population research, Band 24, Heft 2, S. 227-251
ISSN: 1835-9469
In: Australian journal of social issues: AJSI, Band 43, Heft 4, S. 649-668
ISSN: 1839-4655
Food insecurity, the inability to access an adequate food supply, is often considered an issue confronting developing countries only. Yet, conservative estimates show that about 5 per cent of the Australian population are food insecure at any point in time. This paper uses newly released data from the 2004/05 ABS National Health Survey to examine the prevalence and correlates of the severity of food insecurity, and to uncover potential health and nutrition outcomes. Consistent with previous studies, results show that just over 5 per cent of Australians are food insecure due to financial constraints. Of this figure, about 40 per cent are considered to be 'severely' food insecure. That is, the person ran out of money to purchase food, and as a result went without food. A range of economic and socio‐demographic factors were found to be associated with food insecurity, indicating differential access to food supply throughout the Australian population. Results also show significant differences in the self‐reported measures of health, wellbeing and dietary behaviours of the severely insecure, moderatel insecure and food secure Australians.
In: Journal of population research, Band 37, Heft 4, S. 377-389
ISSN: 1835-9469
In: University of New South Wales Law Journal, Band 43, Heft 3
SSRN
This study examined the allocation of time to activities among older Australians not in the labor force. Using the 1997 Time Use Survey, findings show that older Australians are actively contributing to their communities in contrast to the outdated depiction of them as dependent and detached. Although their contributions occur outside of the formal labour market, potential economic benefits accrue to the government because many activities mirror publicly-funded human services. This study also offers knowledge of the factors determining older Australian's time allocation across activities. Living arrangements and income sources are found associated with older Australian's allocation of time to household, social, and community activities. Further research on the value of human services produced by older persons is warranted as these services are largely unrecognized and undervalued.
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Because of population aging, many governments are placing greater responsibility on older persons to fund their retirement. Within this context, older persons' financial self-sufficiency during times of stress is important to understand. Using data from the 2002 Australian General Social Survey, this article reports on the prevalence of older persons drawing on financial resources to meet the cost of everyday living expenses when current income is insufficient, identifies the kinds of resources older persons draw on to meet the costs of everyday necessities, and estimates the effects of demographic factors on different necessary dissaving strategies. Results indicate that about 11% of older persons find it necessary to employ some type of dissaving strategy and that the factors associated with asset dissaving differ from the factors associated with liability dissaving. Future research needs to examine the effects of unanticipated events on necessary dissaving and alternative motives for dissaving.
BASE
This study examined the allocation of time to activities among older Australians not in the labor force. Using the 1997 Time Use Survey, findings show that older Australians are actively contributing to their communities in contrast to the outdated depiction of them as dependent and detached. Although their contributions occur outside of the formal labour market, potential economic benefits accrue to the government because many activities mirror publicly-funded human services. This study also offers knowledge of the factors determining older Australian's time allocation across activities. Living arrangements and income sources are found associated with older Australian's allocation of time to household, social, and community activities. Further research on the value of human services produced by older persons is warranted as these services are largely unrecognized and undervalued.
BASE
Because of population aging, many governments are placing greater responsibility on older persons to fund their retirement. Within this context, older persons' financial self-sufficiency during times of stress is important to understand. Using data from the 2002 Australian General Social Survey, this article reports on the prevalence of older persons drawing on financial resources to meet the cost of everyday living expenses when current income is insufficient, identifies the kinds of resources older persons draw on to meet the costs of everyday necessities, and estimates the effects of demographic factors on different necessary dissaving strategies. Results indicate that about 11% of older persons find it necessary to employ some type of dissaving strategy and that the factors associated with asset dissaving differ from the factors associated with liability dissaving. Future research needs to examine the effects of unanticipated events on necessary dissaving and alternative motives for dissaving.
BASE
Following the release of the Intergenerational Report, the Australian Treasury identified the levers to address the economic effects of demographic ageing as 'the three Ps': population, participation and productivity. To date, the first 'P', population, has been treated as an exogenous factor, with the common view being that there is very little that the government can do to supplant demographic ageing. Focusing upon labour supply, this paper shows how variation in Australia's underlying demography can significantly alter Australia's future labour supply. Although governments cannot redirect the cohort flow component of population ageing, much can be achieved in promoting growth of the labour supply by maintaining or increasing fertility (in the longer term), or increasing targeted migration (in the short to medium term). This paper also decomposes the relative role of cohort flow, changing demography and changing labour force participation on the growth of the labour supply over the past 20 years. Over this period, the entry of the baby boom generation (cohort flow) and increased tabour force participation of women accounted for almost all of the growth in the labour force. Changing demography had very little effect. However, Australia's future tabour supply will not include a large increase in cohort flow (as caused by the baby boomers) or a very large increase in female labour force participation. Regardless of the assumptions used, labour supply growth will be considerably lower in the next and subsequent 20 years, when compared to the previous 20.
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Following the release of the Intergenerational Report, the Australian Treasury identified the levers to address the economic effects of demographic ageing as 'the three Ps': population, participation and productivity. To date, the first 'P', population, has been treated as an exogenous factor, with the common view being that there is very little that the government can do to supplant demographic ageing. Focusing upon labour supply, this paper shows how variation in Australia's underlying demography can significantly alter Australia's future labour supply. Although governments cannot redirect the cohort flow component of population ageing, much can be achieved in promoting growth of the labour supply by maintaining or increasing fertility (in the longer term), or increasing targeted migration (in the short to medium term). This paper also decomposes the relative role of cohort flow, changing demography and changing labour force participation on the growth of the labour supply over the past 20 years. Over this period, the entry of the baby boom generation (cohort flow) and increased tabour force participation of women accounted for almost all of the growth in the labour force. Changing demography had very little effect. However, Australia's future tabour supply will not include a large increase in cohort flow (as caused by the baby boomers) or a very large increase in female labour force participation. Regardless of the assumptions used, labour supply growth will be considerably lower in the next and subsequent 20 years, when compared to the previous 20.
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In: Journal of population research, Band 25, Heft 1, S. 29-49
ISSN: 1835-9469
In: Socio-economic planning sciences: the international journal of public sector decision-making, Band 88, S. 101658
ISSN: 0038-0121
In: International journal of forecasting, Band 39, Heft 1, S. 110-122
ISSN: 0169-2070
In: Australian journal of social issues: AJSI, Band 54, Heft 2, S. 112-134
ISSN: 1839-4655
AbstractUsing Australian census data, the paper examines the incidence of poor English competency in Australia from 1981 onwards. The paper examines English competency in relation to various characteristics such as sex, age, language spoken, visa type, citizenship, duration of residence and location. It finds that there was a sharp rise in the numbers of people not speaking English well between the 2011 and 2016 Censuses and special attention is given to this rise in the paper. Recently, the Australian Government unsuccessfully legislated for the introduction of a requirement of English competency at the level of IELTS 6 (the commonly used university entrance level) as a condition for the award of Australian citizenship. The paper argues that this test would have led to a very large number of disenfranchised Australian permanent residents and this would be a highly undesirable result. Nevertheless, employment and social participation are strongly influenced by English competency and residents with poor English are disadvantaged. The policy suggestion is made that participation in a course of English language training for those without functional English skills could be made a precondition of the award of permanent residence—without the application of a passing grade.
Background Population ageing is projected to reduce labour force growth and aggregate labour force participation, whilst increasing demand for informal carers. Increasing the labour force participation of Australians who face barriers to employment (including carers) is part of the solution to labour market pressures occurring due to demographic change and may improve the financial wellbeing of carers. Aims To examine the availability, usage and barriers to accessing Special Working Arrangements (SWA) to provide care while employed in Australia. Data and methods The 2015 ABS Survey of Disability, Ageing and Carers was used to measure the prevalence of the availability, usage and barriers to SWA to care stratified by carer status and gender. Results About 94% of workers reported access to at least one type of SWA (n=25,094). Of this group, about 22% have used SWA to care in the last 6 months. The proportions using SWA to care were highest among primary carers (64%) followed by other carers (43%) and non-carers (19%). Of those who have used SWA, about 15% wanted to use additional SWA to care in the previous 6 months, but faced barriers in doing so, with higher proportions of primary carers (24.6%) and other carers (21.8%) reporting barriers. The main barriers faced by employed carers included insufficient paid leave and/or work commitments. Conclusions A range of paid and unpaid arrangements are necessary for carers to combine paid work with their caregiving responsibilities. Labour market legislation and workplace policies should be strengthened to reduce barriers to take up of SWA. ; Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research Queensland Centre for Population Research
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