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"A unique analysis that assesses how we can determine which country will be the next world leader. Will China surpass the United States as the world's leader? In American Global Pre-eminence, William R. Thompson argues that the answer depends on leads in technological innovation, energy, and global reach. These are the forces that influence the hierarchy of global power—a system which began emerging a thousand years ago and started becoming more evident after the 1490s, especially after Dutch activities in the seventeenth century and British operations in the nineteenth century. The US followed in this fashion after 1945. Yet leads do not last forever. Ironically, as it becomes clearer how technological innovation, military force, and energy power interact, the processes under scrutiny may themselves be fundamentally transforming. Thus, Thompson contends, the real policy question is not whether the US is ahead or behind China but, rather, whether it will remain possible for a single state to lead the global system. As technological innovation, energy consumption, and global reach capability grow less concentrated, the prospects for systemic leadership shrink—even as global problems become more complex and acute. With a sweeping analysis of global power, Thompson provides a foundation for understanding the realities and possibilities of lead states past, present, and future."

Using a world systems approach and developing a theoretical analysis that builds on the leadership long-cycle approach to global international political economy, this book examines the issues of global inequality. The authors focus on the issues of economic growth, technological diffusion, debt, North-South conflict, democratisation and globalization, and demonstrate how and why the cleavages that have characterized the global North and South in the past and present are growing more acute. The book will be of interest to students and scholars of international political economy, globalisation, international trade and development

15,000 Years of Climate Change in MENA : Big History, Big Questions -- Climate Change from the Younger Dryas to the Little Ice Age -- The Origins of Agriculture, Drought, and Ancient Empires -- Drought and Political-Economic Transformations in the Ancient Near East -- Cooling, Water Scarcity, and Societal Crises in Ancient Mesopotamia and Egypt -- Environmental Fragility in MENA from Late Antiquity to Early Modern Eras -- Global Warming in MENA Today and In the Coming Decades -- Climate Wars -- Canaries in the Coal Mine? -- Water, Food, and Adaptation -- The End of MENA?

Shocks and Rivalries in the Middle East and North Africa is the first book to examine issue-driven antagonisms within groups of Middle East and North Africa (MENA) states and their impact on relations within the region. The volume also considers how shock events, such as internal revolts and regional wars, can alter interstate tensions and the trajectory of conflict. MENA has experienced more internal rivalries than any other region, making a detailed analysis vital to understanding the region's complex political, cultural, and economic history. The state groupings studied in this volume include Israel and Iran; Iran and Saudi Arabia; Iran and Turkey; Iran, Iraq, and Syria; Egypt and Saudi Arabia; and Algeria and Morocco. Essays are theoretically driven, breaking the MENA region down into a collection of systems that exemplify how state and nonstate actors interact around certain issues. Through this approach, contributors shed rare light on the origins, persistence, escalation, and resolution of MENA rivalries and trace significant patterns of regional change. Shocks and Rivalries in the Middle East and North Africa makes a major contribution to scholarship on MENA antagonisms. It not only addresses an understudied phenomenon in the international relations of the MENA region, it also expands our knowledge of rivalry dynamics in global politics.

Conflict propensities in Asian rivalries / Sumit Ganguly and William R. Thompson -- China and Taiwan : balance of rivalry with weapons of mass democratization / Andrew Scobell -- Domestic politics and the U.S.-China rivalry / Lyle J. Goldstein -- Peace and conflict in the Indo-Pakistani rivalry : domestic and strategic causes / S. Paul Kapur -- Instability in Tibet and the Sino-Indian strategic rivalry : do domestic politics matter? / Manjeet S. Pardesi -- The Sino-Russian partnership : the end of rivalry? / Lowell Dittmer -- The rivalry between the two Koreas / Samuel S. Kim -- Asymmetric rivals : China and Vietnam / Brantly Womack -- Two-level games in Asian rivalries / Sumit Ganguly and William R. Thompson