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Working paper
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Commodity Price Uncertainty Comovement: Does It Matter for Global Economic Growth?
In: CAMA Working Paper 8/2022
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Which Oil Shocks are Recessionary, and Which are Inflationary
In: JCOMM-D-23-00099
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Volatility forecasting in European government bond markets
In: International journal of forecasting, Band 37, Heft 4, S. 1691-1709
ISSN: 0169-2070
Volatility Forecasting in European Government Bond Markets
In this paper we examine the predictive power of the Heterogeneous Autoregressive (HAR)model for the return volatility of major European government bond markets. Results fromHAR-type volatility forecasting models show that past short and medium-term volatilityare significant predictors of the term structure of intraday volatility of European bondswith maturities ranging from 1-year up to 30-years. When we decompose bond marketvolatility into its continuous and discontinuous (jump) component, we find that the jumpcomponent is a significant predictor. Moreover, we show that feedback from past short-term volatility to the forecast of future volatility is stronger in days that precede monetarypolicy announcements.
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Does Commodity Price Uncertainty Matter for the Cost of Credit? Evidence from Developing and Advanced Economies
In: JCOMM-D-21-00170
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Elevated stacks' pollutants' dispersion and its contributions to photochemical smog formation in a heavily industrialized area
In: Air quality, atmosphere and health: an international journal, Band 8, Heft 2, S. 213-227
ISSN: 1873-9326
The Acute and Chronic Effects of Resistance and Aerobic Exercise in Hemostatic Balance: A Brief Review
In: Sports, Band 11, Heft 4, S. 74
ISSN: 2075-4663
Hemostatic balance refers to the dynamic balance between blood clot formation (coagulation), blood clot dissolution (fibrinolysis), anticoagulation, and innate immunity. Although regular habitual exercise may lower the incidence of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) by improving an individual's hemostatic profile at rest and during exertion, vigorous exercise may increase the risk of sudden cardiac death and venous thromboembolism (VTE). This literature review aims to investigate the hemostatic system's acute and chronic adaptive responses to different types of exercise in healthy and patient populations. Compared to athletes, sedentary healthy individuals demonstrate similar post-exercise responses in platelet function and coagulatory and fibrinolytic potential. However, hemostatic adaptations of patients with chronic diseases in regular training is a promising field. Despite the increased risk of thrombotic events during an acute bout of vigorous exercise, regular exposure to high-intensity exercise might desensitize exercise-induced platelet aggregation, moderate coagulatory parameters, and up-regulate fibrinolytic potential via increasing tissue plasminogen activator (tPA) and decreasing plasminogen activator inhibitor (PAI-1) response. Future research might focus on combining different types of exercise, manipulating each training characteristic (frequency, intensity, time, and volume), or investigating the minimal exercise dosage required to maintain hemostatic balance, especially in patients with various health conditions.
Excessive Knee Internal Rotation during Grand Plié in Classical Ballet Female Dancers
In: Sports, Band 12, Heft 2, S. 54
ISSN: 2075-4663
Classical ballet dancers are exposed daily to physically demanding movements. Among these, the Grand Plié stands out for its biomechanical complexity, particularly the stress applied to the knee joint. This study investigates the knee kinematics of healthy professional classical ballet dancers performing the Grand Plié. Twenty dancers were evaluated with a motion analysis system using a marker-based protocol. Before measurements, the self-reported Global Knee Functional Assessment Scale was delivered for the knees' functional ability, and the passive range of knee motion was also assessed. The average score on the Global Knee Functional Assessment Scale was 94.65 ± 5.92. During a complete circle of the Grand Plié movement, executed from the upright position, the average maximum internal rotation of the knee joint was 30.28° ± 6.16°, with a simultaneous knee flexion of 134.98° ± 4.62°. This internal rotation observed during knee flexion exceeds the typical range of motion for the joint, suggesting a potential risk for knee injuries, such as meniscal tears. The findings provide an opportunity for future kinematic analysis research, focusing on the movement of the Grand Plié and other common ballet maneuvers. These data have the potential to yield valuable information about the knee kinematics concerning meniscus damage.