Impact of population ageing on unemployment and entrepreneurial activity ; Vpliv staranja prebivalstva na brezposelnost in podjetniško aktivnost
The main aim of the research was to identify the elements of a suitable organisational educational model for tourism in Slovenia. Our research was based on the need of inner circular reflexive performance of the individual in the tourism education model, institutionalised concept of education, which is viewed by outer reflexive model of tourism educational institutions performance and functional practical interaction of individuals and tourism institutions at the development of innovative potentials in the field of tourism. Tendencies to develop complex and qualitative services coming from permanent strengthening of innovative potential of tourism services are common in this field. It is necessary to develop a suitable model in the field of tourism education that places an individual in the educational process taking into account his/her conscious reflection, rational reflection and acquired motivation for solving complex projects in various levels of tourism. Suitable tourism education model, which is level-structured, is expanded in two ways. It includes the active role of an individual in rationalising practical knowledge and strengthening the innovative potential in developing his/her competences, and the role of tourism education institutions. The organisational cultural dimension can be observed as dual activity structure distinguishing between conscious reflection of the external environment on the level of educational institution and internal practical consciousness on the level of individual development of competences. Giddens structuration theory is used as a conceptual frame explaining the organisational-cultural dimensions of suitably structured educational model for tourism in Slovenia. The conclusion is based on the fact that an individual does not acknowledge the multilevel structure of study at higher education where there is an absence of conscious, practical and motivational reflection. Organisational cultural environment in the field of tourism education in Slovenia prefers practical and functional ways of acquiring competences on a higher and postgraduate (Master's) level of study. Due to the structured changes implemented by the Bologna process, competences are not realised on the higher education level but on the postgraduate (Master's) level, which demands a systematic review and a suitable education model change. ; Namen: Namen raziskave je proučiti vpliv staranja prebivalstva na brezposelnost in podjetniško aktivnost v Sloveniji, saj je to eden od pomembnejših problemov v starajoči se Evropi, ki ima številne posledice tako za ekonomsko kakor tudi za neekonomsko blaginjo. Zgradba in metodologija: Najprej predstavljamo fenomen staranja prebivalstva ter pregled literature o vplivu staranja prebivalstva na brezposelnost in podjetniško aktivnost. Nato na presečnih podatkih po slovenskih občinah izvedemo multiplo regresijsko analizo. Uporabljeni so sekundarni podatki, zbrani iz statističnih baz Statističnega urada Republike Slovenije ter Zavoda Republike Slovenije za zaposlovanje o demografskih in ekonomskih spremenljivkah po 210 občinah za leto 2009. Rezultati: Rezultati regresijske analize potrjujejo našo prvo hipotezo. Občine z višjim indeksom staranje ter višjo povprečno starostjo imajo tudi višjo registrirano stopnjo brezposelnosti. Če je indeks staranja (povprečna starost) višji(višja) za 1 %, je stopnja registrirane brezposelnosti višja v povprečju za 0,532 % do 0,670 % (za 2,431 % do 3,379 %) ob ostalih nespremenjenih pogojih. Naša regresijska analiza potrjuje tudi našo drugo hipotezo. Občine z višjo povprečno starostjo imajo tudi manjše število podjetij na 100 prebivalcev. Če je povprečna starost višja za 1 % (za 1 leto), je število podjetij na 100 prebivalcev nižje v povprečju za 1,7 % (za 0,182 podjetja) ob ostalih nespremenjenih pogojih. Zaključek: Sklenemo lahko, da staranje prebivalstva, brez ustreznih ukrepov posledično vodi v nižjo ekonomsko blaginjo. To pa dodatno izpostavlja pomen ustrezne demografske in socialne politike pri vodenju politike trga dela.