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Public sector sponsored training was implemented at a large scale during the transition process in East Germany. Based on new administrative data, we estimate the differential effects of three different programs for East Germany during the transition process. We apply a dynamic multiple treatment approach using matching based on inflows into unemployment. We find positive medium- and long-run employment effects for the largest program, Provision of Specific Professional Skills and Techniques. In contrast, the programs practice firms and retraining show no consistent positive employment effects. Furthermore, no program results in a reduction of benefit recipiency and the effects are quite similar for females and males.

Long-term public sector sponsored training programs often show little or negative short-run employment effects and often it is not possible to assess whether positive long-run effects exist. Based on unique administrative data, this paper estimates the long-run differential employment effects of three different types of training programs in West Germany. We use inflows into unemployment for the years 1986/87 and 1993/94 and apply local linear matching based on the estimated propensity score to estimate the effects of training programs starting during 1 to 2, 3 to 4, and 5 to 8 quarters of unemployment. The results show a negative lock-in effect for the period right after the beginning of the program and significantly positive treatment effects on employment rates in the medium- and long-run. The differential effects of the three programs compared to one another are mainly driven by differences in the length of the lock-in periods.

Long-term public sector sponsored training programs often show little or negative short-run employment effects and often it is not possible to assess whether positive long-run effects exist. Based on unique administrative data, this paper estimates the long-run differential employment effects of three different types of training programs in West Germany. We use inflows into unemployment for the years 1986/87 and 1993/94 and apply local linear matching based on the estimated propensity score to estimate the effects of training programs starting during 1 to 2, 3 to 4, and 5 to 8 quarters of unemployment. The results show a negative lock-in effect for the period right after the beginning of the program and significantly positive treatment effects on employment rates in the medium- and long-run. The differential effects of the three programs compared to one another are mainly driven by differences in the length of the lock-in periods.

Long-term public sector sponsored training programs often show little or negative short-run employment effects and often it is not possible to assess whether positive long-run effects exist. Based on unique administrative data, this paper estimates the longrun differential employment effects of three different types of training programs in West Germany. We use inflows into unemployment for the years 1986/87 and 1993/94 and apply local linear matching based on the estimated propensity score to estimate the effects of training programs starting during 1 to 2, 3 to 4, and 5 to 8 quarters of unemployment. The results show a negative lock-in effect for the period right after the beginning of the program and significantly positive treatment effects on employment rates in the medium- and long-run. The differential effects of the three programs compared to one another are mainly driven by differences in the length of the lock-in periods.

Long-term public sector sponsored training programs often show little or negative short-run employment effects and often it is not possible to assess whether positive long-run effects exist. Based on unique administrative data, this paper estimates the long-run differential employment effects of three different types of training programs in West Germany. We use inflows into unemployment for the years 1986/87 and 1993/94 and apply local linear matching based on the estimated propensity score to estimate the effects of training programs starting during 1 to 2, 3 to 4, and 5 to 8 quarters of unemployment. The results show a negative lock-in effect for the period right after the beginning of the program and significantly positive treatment effects on employment rates in the medium- and long-run. The differential effects of the three programs compared to one another are mainly driven by differences in the length of the lock-in periods.

Long-term public sector sponsored training programs often show little or negative short-run employment effects and often it is not possible to assess whether positive long-run effects exist. Based on unique administrative data, this paper estimates the long-run differential employment effects of three different types of training programs in West Germany. We use inflows into unemployment for the years 1986/87 and 1993/94 and apply local linear matching based on the estimated propensity score to estimate the effects of training programs starting during 1 to 2, 3 to 4, and 5 to 8 quarters of unemployment. The results show a negative lock-in effect for the period right after the beginning of the program and significantly positive treatment effects on employment rates in the medium- and long-run. The differential effects of the three programs compared to one another are mainly driven by differences in the length of the lock-in periods.

New administrative data have recently permitted a differentiated and dynamic evaluation of the employment effects of measures of further vocational training in Germany which have been conducted in the context of active labour market policy. The data available for this purpose include firstly data for the time of the Employment Promotion Act in the 1980s and 1990s, and secondly the data of the Integrated Employment Biographies (Integrierten Erwerbsbiografien (IEB)) for the Social Code III from the year 2000 onwards. The aim of this paper is to assess the results of currently presented evaluations on the basis of these new data sets. We report results from other studies as well as those from our own studies. The results show that the employment effects of measures of further vocational training are far more positive than suggested by studies conducted in the past on the basis of survey data. It can be seen however, that long training measures often do not show their positive effects until some years later. This requires panel data over a long period of time, which are currently only available for the 1980s and 1990s. For this reason, policy implications about the effectiveness of further training measures should not be drawn on the basis of short-term employment effects alone.

Öffentlich geförderte Qualifizierungsmaßnahmen zur beruflichen Weiterbildung weisen oftmals nur geringe oder negative kurzfristige Beschäftigungseffekte auf, und es ist oft nicht möglich abzuschätzen, ob sie langfristige positive Effekte haben. Auf der Basis einzigartiger prozessproduzierter Daten, werden die langfristigen Beschäftigungseffekte von drei unterschiedlichen Typen von Qualifikationsmaßnahmen in Westdeutschland geschätzt. Die empirische Analyse benutzt die Zugangsdaten zur Arbeitslosigkeit für die Jahre 1986/87 und 1993/94 und unterzieht sie einem lokalen linearen Propensity Score Matching. Analysiert werden die Auswirkungen von Qualifikationsmaßnahmen, die während des ersten und zweiten Quartals, während des dritten und vierten Quartals und während des fünften bis achten Quartals der Arbeitslosigkeit begonnen haben. Die empirischen Ergebnisse zeigen einen negativen Lock-in-Effekt für den Zeitraum direkt nach Programmbeginn, mittel- und langfristig jedoch signifikant positive Effekte in Hinblick auf die Beschäftigungsquote. Die unterschiedlichen Auswirkungen der drei Typen von Qualifikationsmaßnahmen werden vor allem auf die unterschiedliche Länge des Lock-in-Zeitraums zurückgeführt. (IAB)