Dynamics of Urban Fire Correlations with Detrended Fluctuation Analysis
In: Journal of risk analysis and crisis response, Volume 1, Issue 2, p. 126
ISSN: 2210-8505
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In: Journal of risk analysis and crisis response, Volume 1, Issue 2, p. 126
ISSN: 2210-8505
In: Journal of risk analysis and crisis response, Volume 1, Issue 2, p. 126
ISSN: 2210-8505
OBJECTIVES: To explore the prevalence, awareness, treatment and control rate of hypertension and analyse the potential social environment factors among Ngawa Tibetans in China. DESIGN: This was a cross-sectional observational study. SETTING: The investigation based on a multistage stratified cluster sampling was conducted in the Ngawa area, Sichuan Province, Southwest China. Tibetan residents were selected by random sampling method from one city and six counties in Ngawa. METHODS: Basic demographical information, physical activity and blood pressure were collected. In addition, the participants completed the questionnaire. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to examine the association between the prevalence, awareness, treatment and control rate of hypertension and the potential risk factors. PARTICIPANTS: The sample comprised 2228 Ngawa Tibetan residents (age 18–80 years) from September 2018 to June 2019. RESULTS: The prevalence rate of hypertension was 24.6%. The control rate was 6.2%, while the awareness rate (32.3%) and treatment rate (21.7%) of hypertension had been significantly improved. CONCLUSION: The prevalence of hypertension among Ngawa Tibetans was high. The awareness and treatment were improved in recent years. But the control rate was low. The government needs to strengthen the basic medical care and health education for Ngawa Tibetans.
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In: Risk analysis: an international journal, Volume 33, Issue 8, p. 1553-1563
ISSN: 1539-6924
Crowd density is a key factor that influences the moving characteristics of a large group of people during a large‐scale evacuation. In this article, the macro features of crowd flow and subsequent rescue strategies were considered, and a series of characteristic crowd densities that affect large‐scale people movement, as well as the maximum bearing density when the crowd is extremely congested, were analyzed. On the basis of characteristic crowd densities, the queuing theory was applied to simulate crowd movement. Accordingly, the moving characteristics of the crowd and the effects of typical crowd density—which is viewed as the representation of the crowd's arrival intensity in front of the evacuation passageways—on rescue strategies was studied. Furthermore, a "risk axle of crowd density" is proposed to determine the efficiency of rescue strategies in a large‐scale evacuation, i.e., whether the rescue strategies are able to effectively maintain or improve evacuation efficiency. Finally, through some rational hypotheses for the value of evacuation risk, a three‐dimensional distribution of the evacuation risk is established to illustrate the risk axle of crowd density. This work aims to make some macro, but original, analysis on the risk of large‐scale crowd evacuation from the perspective of the efficiency of rescue strategies.