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At Least one element of consistency has continued to characterize the course of political events in Indonesia—its capacity to confound the expectations and defy the predictions of most Western observers and scholars. The fate of the Communist movement provides the most recent example. Donald Hindley concluded, in his 1964 study of the policies and development of the Indonesian Communist party since national independence, that a "Communist rebellion is out of the question in the foreseeable future" (p. 301). Guy Pauker's analyses in 1964 and early 1965 of political developments stressed the probability that Indonesia would imminently become a Communist state, either by acclamation or in default of opposing forces.

The charismatic leader is distinguished from other leaders by his capacity to inspire loyalty toward himself as the source of authority, apart from an established status. Charis matic appeal is validated through the perceptions of the fol lowers. Its possession depends upon the leader's ability to draw upon and manipulate the body of myth in a given culture and the actions and values associated with these myths. At tributes of the charismatic leader tend to vary from society to society. In new states the breakdown of traditional and co lonial-legal systems of authority produces conditions of uncer tainty conducive to the emergence of charismatic leadership. Through strategies of cultural management, the charismatic leader legitimizes his claims by associating with himself the sacred symbols of the culture. Disintegration of nationalist unity after independence often makes incompatible the simul taneous pursuit of the two goals of political development: the consolidation of the state and the growth of central government capacity to modernize. Charismatic appeal is initially concen trated on and contributes to the achievement of national co hesion.

The charismatic leader is distinguished from other leaders by his capacity to inspire loyalty toward himself as the source of authority, apart from an established status. Charismatic appeal is validated through the perceptions of the followers. Its possession depends upon the leader's ability to draw upon & manipulate the body of myth in a given culture & the actions & values associated with these myths. Attributes of the charismatic leader tend to vary from society to society. In new states the breakdown of traditional & colonial-legal systems of authority produces conditions of uncertainty conducive to the emergence of charismatic leadership. Through strategies of cultural manag, the charismatic leader legitimizes his claims by associating with himself the sacred symbols of the culture. Disintegration of nat'list unity after independence often makes incompatible the simultaneous pursuit of the 2 goals of pol'al development: the consolidation of the state & the growth of central gov capacity to modernize. Charismatic appeal is initially concentrated on & contributes to the achievement of nat'l cohesion. AA (race relations. arouo relations. etc.).