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The usual question asked about manpower is whether there is a shortage or a surplus. In projecting future trends, it is frequently more useful to know how the total demand and the total supply will change. In engineering, science, and most of the other professions, the total demand will probably increase as a result of increased need for teachers, emphasis upon research, and industrial production. The total supply will also increase as rising college enrollments are fol lowed by larger graduating classes. Whether, at a particular time, supply will be larger or smaller than demand is difficult to predict, but at least for science and engineering, most pre dictions for the next few years are of shortages. The real usefulness of manpower forecasts is to help guide actions that must be taken now. Consequently, the accuracy that can be usefully employed depends upon the extent to which present actions can be adjusted to projected supply and demand trends. Current accuracy is less than would be desirable. The whole field is in need of better methods of projecting demand trends.

The usual question asked about manpower is whether there is a shortage or a surplus. In projecting future trends, it is frequently more useful to know how the Z demand & the I; supply will change. In engineering, sci, & most of the other professions, the Z demand will probably increase as a result of increased need for teachers, emphasis upon res, & industrial production. The (total - sum) supply will also increase as rising Coll enrollments are followed by larger graduating classes. Whether, at a particular time, supply will be larger or smaller than demand is difficult to predict, but at least for sci & engineering, most predictions for the next few yrs are of shortages. The real usefulness of manpower forecasts is to help guide actions that must be taken now. Consequently, the accuracy that can be usefully employed depends upon the extent to which present actions can be adjusted to projected supply & demand trends. Current accuracy is less than would be desirable. The whole field is in need of better methods of projecting demand trends. AA.

Looking at the uses and abuses of high-talent manpower in the United States, Dael Wolfle analyzes the ways in which this country produces, distributes, and utilizes its vital human resources. He examines changing trends in academic and professional supply and demand, and advocates long range administrative planning in order to avoid overspecialization and wasteful use of the professional labor force. To this discussion Dr. Wolfle brings twenty-five years' experience as a psychologist and student of the changing needs for and uses of high talent manpower. Basing his analysis on data from the d

Lotteries have been used to make all kinds of public decisions ever since the days of Ancient Greece. They can contribute to some of our most important values, such as rationality, justice, and democracy. But until recently, there was no theory to make sense of lotteries and what they can do. The past few decades have changed that with a veritable renaissance of studies on lotteries. This book collects fourteen of the most important of these papers, and offers a critical introduction tying them together.

Lotteries have been used to make all kinds of public decisions ever since the days of Ancient Greece. They can contribute to some of our most important values, such as rationality, justice, and democracy. But until recently, there was no theory to make sense of lotteries and what they can do. The past few decades have changed that with a veritable renaissance of studies on lotteries. This book collects fourteen of the most important of these papers, and offers a critical introduction tying t ...