Suchergebnisse

Dockless bikesharing (DBS) has been considered as a solution to the first and last mile problem of metro connectivity. Leveraging data covering all DBS programs in Shanghai, China, this study evaluated bike-and-ride (BnR) activities in DBS-metro systems via four metrics: BnR trip count, BnR rate, shared-bike utilization rate, and catchment size (85th percentile transfer distance). A set of generalized additive models considering marginal nonlinear interactions was fitted to examine associations between the four metrics and external environment, including land use, socio-demographics, roadway designs, transportation facilities, metro station features, and DBS operator features. Different buffer sizes measured by network distance were tested to check model robustness and find optimal buffers. Results showed that: 1) metro stations near the city center exhibited greater BnR trip count, higher BnR rate, lower shared-bike utilization rate, and smaller catchment size; 2) proportion of public and residential land suggested positive relationships with BnR trip count but lose their significances after offsetting metro ridership; 3) numbers of colleges, shopping malls, and carsharing stations presented positive relationships with both BnR trip count and BnR rate; 4) land use mix was significantly positively associated with BnR trip count only when buffer size was larger than 1.5 km; 5) regions with higher population density went from less BnR activities in the city center to more BnR activities in the suburbs; 6) Large DBS operators outperformed small ones in BnR trip count but not in bike utilization rate. Taken together, this study uncovers a spatially disproportionate and supply-demand unbalanced distribution of DBS resources, which could attenuate the efficiency and attractiveness of using DBS to BnR. DBS operators and local governments should evaluate DBS systems from multiple perspectives to avoid an oversupplied and over-competing market. ; https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2021.103271

During the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, Non-Pharmaceutical and Pharmaceutical treatments were alternative strategies for governments to intervene. Though many of these intervention methods proved to be effective to stop the spread of COVID-19, i.e., lockdown and curfew, they also posed risk to the economy; in such a scenario, an analysis on how to strike a balance becomes urgent. Our research leverages the mobility big data from the University of Maryland COVID-19 Impact Analysis Platform and employs the Generalized Additive Model (GAM), to understand how the social demographic variables, NPTs (Non-Pharmaceutical Treatments) and PTs (Pharmaceutical Treatments) affect the New Death Rate (NDR) at county-level. We also portray the mutual and interactive effects of NPTs and PTs on NDR. Our results show that there exists a specific usage rate of PTs where its marginal effect starts to suppress the NDR growth, and this specific rate can be reduced through implementing the NPTs. Copyright: © 2021 Luo et al. ; https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0258379

One approach to delaying the spread of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) is to reduce human travel by imposing travel restriction policies. Understanding the actual human mobility response to such policies remains a challenge owing to the lack of an observed and large-scale dataset describing human mobility during the pandemic. This study uses an integrated dataset, consisting of anonymized and privacy-protected location data from over 150 million monthly active samples in the USA, COVID-19 case data and census population information, to uncover mobility changes during COVID-19 and under the stay-at-home state orders in the USA. The study successfully quantifies human mobility responses with three important metrics: daily average number of trips per person; daily average person-miles travelled; and daily percentage of residents staying at home. The data analytics reveal a spontaneous mobility reduction that occurred regardless of government actions and a 'floor' phenomenon, where human mobility reached a lower bound and stopped decreasing soon after each state announced the stay-at-home order. A set of longitudinal models is then developed and confirms that the states' stay-at-home policies have only led to about a 5% reduction in average daily human mobility. Lessons learned from the data analytics and longitudinal models offer valuable insights for government actions in preparation for another COVID-19 surge or another virus outbreak in the future. ; https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2020.0344