Suchergebnisse

Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to summarize different methods of constructing the financial conditions index (FCI) and analyze current studies on constructing FCI for China. Due to shifts of China's financial mechanisms in the post-crisis era, conventional ways of FCI construction have their limitations.


Design/methodology/approach
The paper suggests improvements in two aspects, i.e. using time-varying weights and introducing non-financial variables. In the empirical study, the author first develops an FCI with fixed weights for comparison, constructs a post-crisis FCI based on time-varying parameter vector autoregressive model and finally examines the FCI with time-varying weights concerning its explanatory and predictive power for inflation.


Findings
Results suggest that the FCI with time-varying weights performs better than one with fixed weights and the former better reflects China's financial conditions. Furthermore, introduction of credit availability improves the FCI.


Originality/value
FCI constructed in this paper goes ahead of inflation by about 11 months, and it has strong explanatory and predictive power for inflation. Constructing an appropriate FCI is important for improving the effectiveness and predictive power of the post-crisis monetary policy and foe achieving both economic and financial stability.

Part I. Theory- Systematic understanding of common prosperity -- 1. Background and significance of common prosperity -- 2. The basis and connotation of common prosperity -- 3. Goal and measurement of common prosperity -- Part II. Practice -Jointly promote common prosperity -- 4. Principles and policies of top-level design -- 5. Construction and promotion of common prosperity demonstration area -- 6. Influence and opportunity of common prosperity -- 7. Realizing people's all-round development.