Suchergebnisse

Das Verhältnis zwischen Russland und dem Westen ist so schlecht wie nie zuvor seit dem Ende des Kalten Krieges. Der Kern dieser neuen Konfliktkonstellation sind harte Interessengegensätze. Aber auch eine weitgehende wechselseitige Verständnislosigkeit trägt dazu bei, dass bereits der Einstieg in einen ernsthaften Dialog schwierig geworden ist. Schlüsselbegriffe wie Sicherheit oder Stabilität bedeuten ganz Unterschiedliches für die verschiedenen Seiten. Diese schwierige Lage hat zu einem neuen Interesse an den "Narrativen" der verschiedenen Staaten, Eliten und Bevölkerungen geführt. Jeder Versuch, zwischen den verschiedenen Sicherheits-Erzählungen vermitteln zu wollen, müsste scheitern. Vielmehr will dieser Band dazu beitragen, dass die verschiedenen Erzähler/innen besser verstehen, was die jeweils anderen meinen. Im Ergebnis zeichnen die hier abgedruckten 13 Sicherheitsnarrative ein sehr viel differenzierteres Bild, als es das bipolare Ost-West-Muster nahelegen würde.Mit Beiträgen von:Kari Möttölä, Barbara Kunz, Kornely Kakachia, Wolfgang Zellner, Serena Giusti, Andris Spruds, Barend Ter Haar, Andrei Zagorski, Christian Nünlist, Benno Zogg, Hüseyin Bagci, Ali Serdar Erdurmaz, Oleksiy Semeniy, James Gow, Philip Remler

The relationship between Russia and the West is worse than it has ever been since the end of the Cold War. Substantially contradictory interests are at the core of this new constellation of conflict. But a far-reaching mutual lack of understanding also contributes to the fact that even entering into serious dialogue has become difficult for the different sides. Key terms, such as security or stability, mean something quite different to each of them. This precarious situation has led to a new interest in the "narratives" of states, elites and populations. Every attempt at mediation between the different security narratives is doomed to fail. This volume is intended to contribute to the different storytellers understanding better what the other sides mean. As a result, the 13 security narratives published in this book paint a much more differentiated picture than the bipolar East-West pattern would suggest.With contributions by:Kari Möttölä, Barbara Kunz, Kornely Kakachia, Wolfgang Zellner, Serena Giusti, Andris Spruds, Barend Ter Haar, Andrei Zagorski, Christian Nünlist, Benno Zogg, Hüseyin Bagci, Ali Serdar Erdurmaz, Oleksiy Semeniy, James Gow, Philip Remler

Der Vertrag über konventionelle Streitkräfte in Europa (KSE) aus dem Jahr 1990 ist ein Kernelement der kooperativen Sicherheitspolitik in Europa. Von daher ist der Vertrag unverändert von strategischer Bedeutung für Europa. Die konventionelle Rüstungskontrolle in Europa ist jedoch in einer tiefen Krise, da Russland den ursprünglichen KSE-Vertrag suspendiert hat und der Angepasste KSE-Vertrag (AKSE) von 1999 noch nicht in Kraft getreten ist. In diesem Band analysieren führende Experten aus den USA, Russland sowie anderen europäischen Ländern die Situation, legen Vorschläge vor, wie die gegenwärtige Blockade überwunden werden kann, und zeigen Optionen für konventionelle Rüstungskontrolle in Europa im Sicherheitsumfeld des 21. Jahrhunderts auf.

Based on two lectures presented as part of The Stone Lectures in Economics series, Arnold Zellner describes the structural econometric time series analysis (SEMTSA) approach to statistical and econometric modeling. Developed by Zellner and Franz Palm, the SEMTSA approach produces an understanding of the relationship of univariate and multivariate time series forecasting models and dynamic, time series structural econometric models. As scientists and decision-makers in industry and government world-wide adopt the Bayesian approach to scientific inference, decision-making and forecasting, Zellner offers an in-depth analysis and appreciation of this important paradigm shift. Finally Zellner discusses the alternative approaches to model building and looks at how the use and development of the SEMTSA approach has led to the production of a Marshallian Macroeconomic Model that will prove valuable to many. Written by one of the foremost practitioners of econometrics, this book will have wide academic and professional appeal

Based on two lectures presented as part of The Stone Lectures in Economics series, Arnold Zellner describes the structural econometric time series analysis (SEMTSA) approach to statistical and econometric modeling. Developed by Zellner and Franz Palm, the SEMTSA approach produces an understanding of the relationship of univariate and multivariate time series forecasting models and dynamic, time series structural econometric models. As scientists and decision-makers in industry and government world-wide adopt the Bayesian approach to scientific inference, decision-making and forecasting, Zellner offers an in-depth analysis and appreciation of this important paradigm shift. Finally Zellner discusses the alternative approaches to model building and looks at how the use and development of the SEMTSA approach has led to the production of a Marshallian Macroeconomic Model that will prove valuable to many. Written by one of the foremost practitioners of econometrics, this book will have wide academic and professional appeal