Preface -- Preface -- Contents -- Abbreviations -- Introduction -- 1 Justification (or Why Legal (Un)certainty?) -- 1.1 Certainty as a Normative Principle -- 1.2 Certainty as an Old Goal -- 1.3 Social Causes of Legal Incertainty -- 1.4 Legal Causes of Legal Incertainty -- 1.5 Problems Derived from Legal Uncertainty -- 1.6 The Urgence of Analyzing Legal Certainty -- 1.7 The Present Task -- 2 Object (or in What Sense Will Legal Certainty Be Examined?) -- 3 Method (or from What Perspective Will Legal Certainty Be Analyzed?) -- 4 Plan (or How Will the Analysis of Legal Certainty Be Structured?)
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Front -- TABLE OF CONTENTS -- 1 Introduction -- 2 The New Battleground for Risk Taking :The Service Economy -- 3 Facing Social Uncertainty: Towards a New Social Policy in the Service Economy -- 4 Producing the Wealth of Nations -- the Risk Takers and the SupplySide of the Economy. The Dynamics of Disequilibrium -- 5 At The Roots of Uncertainty
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People believe their opinions directly reflect reality, which commonly leads them to adopt certain views (Ross & Ward, 1996). This certainty of position often leads people to think those who disagree with them are biased and extreme (Blatz, Sumantry, and Mercier, 2017). In the present study, we tested whether opponents who are interpreted as certain and thus more biased have less persuasive appeal than those who are uncertain because they are seen as biased and extreme. Participants on each side of the legalization of marijuana read articles regarding the political issue. The articles were ostentatiously written by an expert source - a doctor describing a position opposite to the participant's either certainly or uncertainly. We hypothesized that individuals would interpret the certain author as biased and thus less persuasive than the uncertain author. Results suggest that certainty of an opposing opinion did not affect its persuasive appeal. This may be a result of applying the theory to an improper context – an expert source as people may not interpret expert sources as biased. It may also result because of a failure in the study design - the manipulation check of perceived certainty suggested that the passages were not seen as more or less certain. Future directions will be discussed. Discipline: Psychology Faculty Mentor: Dr. Craig Blatz
