Competitive alliances and civil war recurrence
In: International studies quarterly: the journal of the International Studies Association, Band 60, Heft 1, S. 24-37
ISSN: 1468-2478
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In: International studies quarterly: the journal of the International Studies Association, Band 60, Heft 1, S. 24-37
ISSN: 1468-2478
World Affairs Online
In: International studies quarterly: the journal of the International Studies Association, Band 60, Heft 1, S. 24-37
ISSN: 1468-2478
In: International interactions: empirical and theoretical research in international relations, Band 33, Heft 2, S. 167-193
ISSN: 1547-7444
In: International interactions: empirical and theoretical research in international relations, Band 33, Heft 2, S. 167-194
ISSN: 0305-0629
In: The journal of conflict resolution: journal of the Peace Science Society (International), Band 64, Heft 7/8, S. 1307-1334
ISSN: 1552-8766
Does restructuring security forces reduce the risk of civil war recurrence? Prior research has examined effects of military integration in alleviating commitment problems, but the evidence has been inconclusive. Other aspects of civil–military relations have received less attention. This article examines the effects of civil–military relations in the context of postwar struggles to consolidate authority. It outlines three pathways through which security forces contribute to renewed civil war: by excluding rival factions and facilitating insurgent mobilization, by exploiting control over resources to challenge the regime, or by escalating incipient insurgency through repression. Analysis of original, cross-national data on postwar civil–military relations shows that reducing the potential for exclusion and exploitation through diverse officer appointments and robust civilian oversight lowers the risk of civil war. These findings emphasize the distributive effects of restructuring security forces and highlight the value of examining political contests around state institutions to understand why civil wars restart.
World Affairs Online
In: International peacekeeping, Band 27, Heft 3, S. 467-509
ISSN: 1743-906X
This article studies how when post-conflict justice works alongside a peacekeeping operation following a civil conflict, a two-pronged pacifying effect is activated. While justice mechanisms deal with the factors underlying the conflict, peacekeepers increase the costs for the potential spoilers of the peace while also supporting the justice processes. The findings in this study have important implications for conflict-ridden states attempting to escape the 'conflict trap'.
World Affairs Online
In: The journal of conflict resolution: journal of the Peace Science Society (International), Band 64, Heft 7-8, S. 1307-1334
ISSN: 1552-8766
Does restructuring security forces reduce the risk of civil war recurrence? Prior research has examined effects of military integration in alleviating commitment problems, but the evidence has been inconclusive. Other aspects of civil–military relations have received less attention. This article examines the effects of civil–military relations in the context of postwar struggles to consolidate authority. It outlines three pathways through which security forces contribute to renewed civil war: by excluding rival factions and facilitating insurgent mobilization, by exploiting control over resources to challenge the regime, or by escalating incipient insurgency through repression. Analysis of original, cross-national data on postwar civil–military relations shows that reducing the potential for exclusion and exploitation through diverse officer appointments and robust civilian oversight lowers the risk of civil war. These findings emphasize the distributive effects of restructuring security forces and highlight the value of examining political contests around state institutions to understand why civil wars restart.
In: The Korean journal of international studies, Band 21, Heft 3, S. 311-338
ISSN: 2288-5072
In: Journal of peace research, Band 53, Heft 1, S. 19-32
ISSN: 1460-3578
We consider whether the fragmentation of combatants during civil war has downstream effects on the durability of peace following civil wars. We contend that the splintering of combatant groups, a primary manifestation of rebel group fragmentation, produces potential spoiler groups that are neither incidental nor unimportant in the process of civil war resolution. Making connections to the spoiling and credible commitment literatures, we hypothesize that rebel splintering hastens the recurrence of civil wars. Using event history modeling and propensity score matching to analyze two different civil war datasets, we examine whether the occurrence of fragmentation during a civil war influences the length of peace after the civil war. The empirical analysis of fragmentation events during civil wars since World War II offers support for the hypothesis that splintering decreases the duration of post-civil war peace. The results suggest the need to pay closer attention to the dynamics of fragmentation, and particularly how these dynamics lead to future consequences – even when those consequences take place after the war has concluded. For example, governments that attempt to splinter groups or to use existing fragmentations within rebel groups to end a civil war may encourage the unintended consequence of shorter peace duration.
In: European journal of international relations, Band 27, Heft 3, S. 913-935
ISSN: 1460-3713
Violence after civil war is a challenge to sustainable peace. Many armed conflicts today are recurrences of previous wars and much of the literature on violence after war explains why armed groups return to the battlefield. But even if peace prevails, many other types of violence take place in postwar environments. This postwar violence is likewise subject to a growing multidisciplinary literature. Using citation network analysis, we show that research on war recurrence and postwar violence has developed in relative isolation from each other—although these phenomena are interrelated. This compartmentalization leads us to overlook important similarities and differences in the drivers of different forms of violence after war. We demonstrate this by reviewing the literature in both of these closely related fields. While war recurrence and postwar violence share a set of common risk factors, some factors can have opposite effects on the two outcomes. Because these insights only emerge when systematically comparing the two strands of literature, we propose a novel framework for the study of violence after wars that aims at overcoming the compartmentalization of research within these two fields. The framework serves both as a conceptual lens and an analytical tool to categorize and compare different forms of violence after war. We then outline how the framework aids scholars in pursuing an integrated research agenda, with concrete suggestions for research questions that should be studied to expand our understanding of violence after wars.
World Affairs Online
In: Journal of peace research, Band 53, Heft 1, S. 19-32
ISSN: 0022-3433
World Affairs Online
In: African affairs: the journal of the Royal African Society, Band 113, Heft 451, S. 324-326
ISSN: 1468-2621
In: African affairs: the journal of the Royal African Society, Band 113, Heft 451, S. 324-323
ISSN: 0001-9909
In: Governance: an international journal of policy and administration, Band 27, Heft 1, S. 166-169
ISSN: 1468-0491
In: Political science quarterly: PSQ ; the journal public and international affairs, Band 127, Heft 4, S. 732-733
ISSN: 0032-3195