Suchergebnisse

This study is concerned with the relationship between the domestic and foreign conflict behavior of nations. Specifically, it is postulated that two key variables, type of nation and nature of conflict, determine the nature of this relationship. A population of 74 nations are divided into three groups, personalist, centrist, and polyarchic. A correlation analysis is then performed on these groups for all possible pairs of domestic conflict behavior dimensions - 'turmoil', 'revolutionary,' 'subversive' - and foreign conflict behavior dimensions - 'war,' 'diplomatic,' 'belligerency.' Stage 2 of the analysis, using raw data and covering a period from 1955 to 1960, facilitat s the investigation of time lags as a possible additional factor. The results of the study indicate that the postulated relationships do exist, with joe of nation constituting perhaps the key element in the nature of this relationship.

The growing importance of third world countries in the international system brings their potential for conflict and cooperation to the forefront. Given the fact that the East-West conflict tends to intensify the North-South conflict, a general tendency toward more warlike antagonisms is becoming evident within the Third World. In view of this trend, Latin America as a region becomes particularly interesting; conditions here have always led to conflict situations between the various countries, but specific historical factors seem to have kept these conflicts from erupting to the same extent that they have in other regions of the Third World.Conflicts between two states do not suddenly occur. Their virulence rather gradually develops from a mixture of border conflicts, historical animosities, economic disputes, differences in political systems, arms races, and certainly, the influence of the big powers.

In this article we attempt to replicate the hypothesis tested by Rummel and others that external and internal conflict are unrelated. We do this using data for 125 nations for the years 1966-1967. As did Rummel, we use exploratory factor analysis and regression analysis; in addition, we also employ confirmatory factor analysis. Results from confirmatory factor analysis contradict Rummel and reveal moderately strong correlations between internal and external conflict factors. Regression analysis and partial correlations, however, show that zero-order cross-country correlations between internal and external conflict are reduced to insignificance when a control variable, population size, is introduced in the analysis.

This article reviews empirical res on pol'al instability, or conflict behavior within nations, in light of a new typology of diff kinds of pol'al instability. The typology is further evaluated by factor analytic solutions of data coded for 32 SubSaharan African nations, & a preliminary investigation of temporal relationships between indices of diff kinds of pol'al instability in these nations. It is suggested that pol'al instability (1) be distinguished from conflict in pol'al systems, (2) be conceptualized as the result of conflict involving elites, communal groups, & mass movements, & (3) that the diff conceptual dimensions be distinguished, ie, elite instability, communal instability, & mass instability. In conclusion, recommended is the development of theories which explain the conditions where conflict is exacerbated or inhibited re conditions for instability of elites, communal groups or mass movements. 8 Tables. Modified AA.