Suchergebnisse
Filter
978 Ergebnisse
Sortierung:
Crisis Escalation: Model and Findings
In: International political science review: the journal of the International Political Science Association (IPSA) = Revue internationale de science politique, Band 17, Heft 2, S. 215-230
ISSN: 1460-373X
The concept, crisis escalation, has three distinct but closely-related meanings: change from incipient to full-scale crisis; change from non-violence to violence; and change from no/low violence to severe violence. These are examined through a model of crisis escalation and a group of seven hypotheses derived from the model. Testing of the propositions on crisis escalation with the evidence from 388 international crises and 829 foreign policy crises from the end of 1918 to the end of 1988 reveals strong support for most of the postulated linkages in the crisis escalation model. Moreover, the evidence from ten indepth case studies indicates a widely shared pattern of coping with high stress, despite notable diversity in crisis attributes. This finding challenges conventional wisdom about how states cope with foreign policy crises.
Iran's nuclear programme: Crisis escalation
In: Strategic comments: in depth analysis of strategic issues from the International Institute for Strategic Studies, Band 12, Heft 1, S. 1-2
ISSN: 1356-7888
Deterrence failure and crisis escalation
In: International studies quarterly: the journal of the International Studies Association, Band 32, Heft 1, S. 29-45
ISSN: 0020-8833, 1079-1760
World Affairs Online
Cumulating Knowledge on Crisis Escalation
In: International studies review, Band 1, Heft 1, S. 126-128
ISSN: 1468-2486
Crisis escalation
In: International political science review: IPSR = Revue internationale de science politique : RISP, Band 17, Heft 2, S. 215-230
ISSN: 0192-5121
World Affairs Online
Crisis, Escalation, War.Ole R. Holsti
In: The journal of politics: JOP, Band 35, Heft 2, S. 498-499
ISSN: 1468-2508
Deterrence Failure and Crisis Escalation
In: International Studies Quarterly, Band 32, Heft 1, S. 29
Deterrence failure and crisis escalation
In: International studies quarterly: the journal of the International Studies Association, Band 32, S. 29-45
ISSN: 0020-8833, 1079-1760
Based on conference paper. What determines whether, once deterrence has failed, full-scale war is the probable outcome?
Protracted conflict and crisis escalation
In: Strategic Rivalries in World Politics, S. 101-131
Nuclear weapons, deterrence, and crisis escalation
In: The journal of conflict resolution: journal of the Peace Science Society (International), Band 34, S. 291-310
ISSN: 0022-0027, 0731-4086
Analyzes escalation patterns in interstate disputes among nation's with both identical and different levels of weapons technology; based on conference paper. Whether nuclear weapons can be relied upon to impede escalatory dispute behavior by either nuclear or nonnuclear antagonists.
Nuclear Weapons, Deterrence, and Crisis Escalation
In: The journal of conflict resolution: journal of the Peace Science Society (International), Band 34, Heft 2, S. 291-310
ISSN: 1552-8766
The effect of the possession of nuclear weapons on patterns of international conflict is the subject of an extensive but generally impressionistic body of work. Assumptions in this area determine one's confidence in superpower deterrence and fuel the debate over the proper expenditure of military allocations. This study presents an analysis of escalation patterns in interstate disputes among nations with both identical and different levels of weapons technology. The results demonstrate that the distribution of nuclear capabilities does impact the patterns of escalation in serious international conflicts. The findings are supportive of the thesis of competitive risk taking in disputes between nuclear powers but also indicate that the possession of nuclear weapons has no apparent inhibitory effect on the escalatory propensities of nonnuclear opponents. The principal policy implication of this analysis is that nuclear weapons cannot be relied upon to impede escalatory dispute behavior by either nuclear or nonnuclear antagonists.
World Food Crisis: Escalation of Problems
In: Mirovaja ėkonomika i meždunarodnye otnošenija: MĖMO, Heft 4, S. 15-23
The article investigates the nature, the main features and particularities of the 2007–2008 world food crisis, which has revealed the imperfection of the world food and agricultural systems as well as contradictions both in production relations and increasingly inside the Man–Nature system.
Nuclear Weapons, Deterrence, and Crisis Escalation
In: The journal of conflict resolution: journal of the Peace Science Society (International), Band 34, Heft 2, S. 291
ISSN: 0022-0027, 0731-4086
Strategic Rivalries, Protracted Conflict, and Crisis Escalation
In: Journal of peace research, Band 39, Heft 3, S. 263-287
ISSN: 1460-3578
Underlying the emerging interest in the role of rivalry processes as antecedents to interstate conflict is the simple idea that conflict within the constraints of rivalry works differently than conflict outside of rivalry. In this article, we inspect the concepts of protracted conflict, as developed within the International Crisis Behavior (ICB) project, and rivalry, and discuss some of their applications to crisis escalation. The protracted conflict and rivalry concepts are not identical, but they do overlap in terms of their emphases on historical context, serious goal incompatibilities, and stakes that might be resolved coercively. Developing an argument for the concept of rivalry possessing fewer limitations than protracted conflict, we proceed to analyze and test the interaction between rivalry and other variables, again making use of an ICB escalation model, when predicting crisis escalation to war. Throughout, our basic question concerns what role interstate rivalry plays in crisis behavior. Are the crises of rivals more lethal than those of non-rivals? If so, can we pinpoint why that is the case? We find that rivalry not only makes escalation more likely, but also significantly interacts with more traditional predictors of conflict, such as capability ratios, the number of actors in a crisis, democracy, and the issues under contention.