Intro -- Preface -- Contents -- 1 Introduction -- References -- Part I Analyzing Theories of Family Demography -- 2 Reformulating Second Demographic Transition Theory -- 2.1 First Change: Independent Variation of SDT Outcomes -- 2.2 Second Change: Patterns of Advantage and Disadvantage -- 2.3 Reformulated SDT Theory Applied to Sweden -- 2.3.1 Retreat from Marriage -- 2.3.2 Dispersion of Childbearing Outside Marriage -- 2.3.3 Opposite Trends for Different SDT Indicators -- 2.4 Discussion: Individualization as a Theoretical Foundation -- 2.5 Conclusion -- References -- 3 Do People Have Reproductive Goals? Constructive Preferences and the Discovery of Desired Family Size -- 3.1 Introduction -- 3.1.1 Background -- 3.1.2 Concepts -- 3.2 The Prevalence of and Basis for Uncertainty -- 3.2.1 Are People Really Uncertain About Their Future Fertility? -- 3.2.2 Uncertainty in the Context of Preferences -- 3.2.2.1 Indifference, Weak or Unclear Preferences -- 3.2.2.2 Clear Positive Preferences -- 3.2.2.3 Clear Negative Preferences -- 3.2.3 Further Evidence That Uncertainty Is Genuine -- 3.2.4 Summary -- 3.3 An Alternative Theoretical Approach to Fertility Preferences and Intentions -- 3.3.1 Preference Construction Theory -- 3.3.2 Fertility Intentions and Preferences as Constructed -- 3.3.2.1 Effective Preferences -- 3.3.2.2 Stated Preferences: Responses to Survey Questions -- 3.4 Discussion -- References -- 4 Consensual Union and Marriage in Brazil, 1970-2010. Gender Equality, Legal Issues and Social Context -- 4.1 Introduction -- 4.2 Background -- 4.2.1 Consensual Union in Latin America -- 4.2.2 Social and Cultural Aspects of Consensual Union and Marriage in Brazil -- 4.2.3 Legal Aspects of Consensual Union in Brazil -- 4.2.4 Gender Equality, Independence, Consensual Union and Marriage -- 4.3 Objectives and Hypotheses -- 4.3.1 Age and Education.
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This paper is dedicated to the 50th anniversary of the Stanovnistvo (Population) journal, launched by the Center for demographic research in Belgrade in 1963. The anniversary is an opportunity to reflect on developments and trends in demography as a discipline, thus the paper points out certain specifics of these developments. The specifics discussed mirror the author's choice, which was guided primarily by the criterion of interestingness, but also by the intention to make a survey. Hence points about the development of demography are backed by insights made by a number of other demographers. The major source of references were papers and speeches given on similar occasions - anniversaries of journals, anniversaries of associations of demographers, as well as special issues of journals dedicated to theory and methodology. Certain points are also made based on other sources of reference. The major part of the paper is related to transformations of demography, which has started as a predominantly formal discipline and has developed into a social and interdisciplinary field. Topical and methodological expansion of demography induces mixed reactions among demographers. Ones welcome its diversification, whereas others see such changes as signs of abandoning the essence of demography. This makes it harder and harder to define the area of demographic research. Changes in demography are mostly studied from the standpoint of polarized dimensions: quantitative-qualitative, macro-micro, and, in the context of diversification, formal demography vs. population studies. Another important segment of development trends in demography is that of improving its vocabulary, which is affected by other fields related to demography. Terminological changes are also related to the specification of certain branches and subfields of demography. For instance, anthropological and spatial demography have roots in earlier development phases of demography. Still, these terms have become popular at a later stage, only when the methodological and cognitive capacities of the corresponding research approaches have increased. The paper also indicates that demographers do not find new inspiration only outside of the core demographic problems. As an example, man fertility is briefly discussed as an increasingly popular topic in literature during the last decade. Finally, attractive presentation of demographic content is found to be very important for visibility and applicability of demography, which is illustrated by interpreting some of the most frequently videos related to demography on YouTube. The paper concludes that different paths that open during the development of demography are not incompatible, that they represent demographers' diverse choices, and that they all contribute to strengthening the field.
Introduction / Samuel H. Preston and Linda G. Martin -- The formal demography of population aging, transfers, and the economic life cycle / Ronald D. Lee -- Retirement and labor force behavior of the elderly / Joseph F. Quinn and Richard V. Burkhauser -- Income, wealth, and intergenerational economic relations of the aged / Douglas Holtz-Eakin and Timothy M. Smeeding -- The elderly and their kin : patterns of availability and access / Douglas A. Wolf -- Care of the elderly : division of labor among the family, market, and state / Beth J. Soldo and Vicki A. Freedman -- Medical demography : interaction of disability dynamics and mortality / Kenneth G. Manton and Eric Stallard -- Socioeconomic differences in adult mortality and health status / Samuel H. Preston and Paul Taubman -- Geographic concentration, migration, and population redistribution among the elderly / Frank D. Bean, George C. Myers, Jacqueline L. Angel, and Omer R. Galle -- Research on the demography of aging in developing countries / Linda G. Martin and Kevin Kinsella.
By bringing together top-notch demographers, sociologists, economists, statisticians and public health specialists from Asia, Africa, Europe, and North America to examine a wide variety of public and private issues in applied demography, this book spans a wide range of topics. It evaluates population estimates and projections against actual census counts and suggests further improvement of estimates and projection techniques and evaluation procedures; new techniques are proposed for estimating families and households and particular attention is paid to the much-discussed topic of access to health care. Coverage extends to factors influencing health status and elder abuse, child bearing and labor market analysis and the effects of education on labor market outcomes of native white American and immigrant European populations. Methodologically rigorous and pragmatically useful, Emerging Techniques in Applied Demography also examines a wide variety of public and private issues under the field of applied demography. It provides a broad overview of research topics and also reflects substantial development in the field of applied demography. It also bridges the gap between theory and research by providing several examples of work of distinguished applied demographic
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The paper presents an outline of the relationship between anthropology and demography, sometimes depicted as "long, tortured, often ambivalent, and sometimes passionate." Although early anthropologists (primarily British social anthropologists) routinely made use of demographic data, especially in their studies of kinship, the two disciplines gradually drifted away from each other. The re-approachment took place from 1960s, and the last fifteen years saw more intensive cooperation and more insights about possible mutual benefits that could be achieved through combining of methodologies and revision of some theoretical assumptions, primarily through anthropological demography. As summarized by Laura Bernardi and Inge Hutter, "Anthropological demography is a specialty within demography that uses anthropological theory and methods to provide a better understanding of demographic phenomena in current and past populations. Its genesis and ongoing growth lies at the intersection of demography and socio-cultural anthropology and with their efforts to understand population processes: mainly fertility, migration, and mortality. Both disciplines share a common research subject, namely human populations, and they focus on mutually complementary aspects" (2007: 541). In the first part of the paper, the author presents some general considerations, like the one that "demography is one of the best understood and predictable parts of human behavior, even if demographers still find themselves unable to predict accurately when parameters will change in interesting ways, such as the ?the baby boom? or the shift to later childbeanng in the 1970s and 1980s North America" (Howell, 1986: 219). Nancy Howell also noted the importance of demographic anthropology, because, in her words "if we knew, reliably, the birth and death probability schedules of particular populations, we would know a great deal about their size, age composition, growth rate. And with just a little more information we would know a great deal more such as household and family composition, economic organization, social problems, and something of the political structure. It we knew the schedules for populations in general and could correlate the schedules with the causes, genetic or environmental, that produce them, we would know a great deal about the possible range of human social structure" (Howell, 1986: 219). In the second part of the paper, the author discusses several examples of interplay between anthropology and demography. One of them is Patrick Heady?s study of the shift in ritual patterns, which combines elements of some "classical" anthropological topics (Mauss?s theory of gift exchange and L?vi-Strauss?s concept of kinship) with his own field research in the Carnian Alps. "By marrying and raising children, parents participate in a system of gift-exchange in which the gifts in question are human lives, and the parties to the exchange are the kinship groups recognized in the society concerned. Fertility reflects the attitudes of prospective parents to their place in the existing system of reproductive exchange, and the relationships of cooperation and authority which it implies - as well as their confidence in the system?s continuing viability. It is shown that this view is compatible with earlier ideas about self-regulating population systems - and that changing economic circumstances are an important source of discrepancy between existing exchange systems and the attitudes and expectations of prospective parents" (Heady, 2007: 465). The paper concludes with the discussion of the directions in which relationship between these two disciplines can proceed. Some of the epistemological issues are mentioned, as well as a need to apply different theoretical perspectives to better understand demographic behavior (especially in Europe) and to better understand certain cultural components that shape this behavior. In order to achieve this, most of the scholars whose works are discussed in this paper emphasize "the need for a holistic approach to data collection and the added value of triangulating quantitative and qualitative analyses" (Bernardi, Hutter, 2007: 541).