Suchergebnisse

Ip Po Na. ; Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1999. ; Includes bibliographical references (leaves 63-72). ; Abstracts in English and Chinese.

by Ho Yan Wing Bosco. ; Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1999. ; Includes bibliographical references (leaves 89-91). ; Abstract also in Chinese. ; ACKNOWLEDGMENTS --- p.iii ; LIST OF TABLES --- p.iv ; LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS --- p.v ; CHAPTER ; Chapter I --- INTRODUCTION --- p.1 ; Chapter II --- GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF THE ECONOMY OF HONG KONG --- p.7 ; Chapter III --- METHODOLOGY AND THE SPECIFICATION OF THE ERC MODEL --- p.11 ; Unit-Root Tests ; Co-integration and Error Correction Model ; The ERC Model ; Chapter IV --- THE ESTIMATED MODEL --- p.44 ; Chapter V --- POLICY SIMULATIONS AND THE DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER ANALYSIS --- p.62 ; Chapter VI --- CONCLUSION --- p.69 ; TABLES --- p.71 ; ILLUSTRATIONS --- p.82 ; BIBLIOGRAPHY --- p.89

Ho Wing-Kee. ; Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2002. ; Includes bibliographical references (leaves 60-66). ; Abstracts in English and Chinese. ; Abstract --- p.i ; Acknowledgement --- p.iii ; Table of Content --- p.v ; List of Table --- p.vi ; List of Appendices --- p.vii ; Chapter Chapter 1. --- Introduction --- p.1 ; Chapter Chapter 2. --- Literature Review --- p.5 ; Chapter Chapter 3. --- Theoretical Framework --- p.8 ; Chapter 3.1 --- Regime 1 ( Social Planner Model) --- p.10 ; Chapter 3.2 --- Regime 2 ( Provision of Indivisible Public Capital by the Government Model ) --- p.14 ; Chapter 3.3 --- Regime 3 ( Provision of Indivisible Public Capital by the Public Monopoly Model) --- p.19 ; Chapter Chapter 4. --- Quantitative Comparison --- p.27 ; Chapter 4.1 --- Calibration --- p.27 ; Chapter 4.2 --- Numerical Results --- p.29 ; Chapter Chapter 5. --- Conclusion --- p.31 ; Appendices --- p.42 ; References --- p.60

Chow Kin On. ; Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2006. ; Includes bibliographical references (leaves 106-110). ; Abstracts in English and Chinese. ; Abstract --- p.i ; Acknowledgements --- p.iii ; Chapter Chapter One --- Introduction --- p.1 ; Chapter 1.1 --- Motivation --- p.1 ; Chapter 1.2 --- Contribution --- p.3 ; Chapter Chapter Two --- Overview China's Administration System --- p.6 ; Chapter 2.1 --- Development of China's System of Administrative Jurisdictions --- p.6 ; Chapter 2.2 --- Administration System of Zhejiang --- p.15 ; Chapter 2.3 --- Administration System of Fujian --- p.19 ; Chapter Chapter Three --- Literature Review --- p.23 ; Chapter 3.1 --- Advantages and Disadvantages of Province- Administering-County (PAC) System --- p.23 ; Chapter 3.2 --- Literature on Prefecture-Level-City-Administering-County (CAC) System --- p.26 ; Chapter 3.3 --- Literature on Economic Growth --- p.30 ; Chapter Chapter Four --- Methodology --- p.34 ; Chapter 4.1 --- Growth Regression Model and Approaches --- p.34 ; Chapter 4.2 --- Explanatory Variables --- p.39 ; Chapter Chapter Five --- Estimation Results --- p.47 ; Chapter 5.1 --- Estimation Results --- p.47 ; Chapter 5.2 --- Summary and Interpretation of Estimation Results --- p.53 ; Chapter Chapter Six --- Policy Implications and Conclusion --- p.58 ; Chapter 6.1 --- Summary of Major Findings --- p.58 ; Chapter 6.2 --- Policy Implications --- p.59 ; Chapter 6.3 --- Limitation and Possible Extensions --- p.63 ; Appendix --- p.65 ; Reference --- p.106

在本論文中我們使用複雜系統研究方法,分析增長、分配和相關的基本社會經濟問題,經濟系統在本文中被視為包含巨大自由度的複雜系統。 ; 我們首先提出了一個無代表性經濟行為人的非同質的Poisson 創新增長模型以證明長期可持續的經濟增長的最終引擎來自於變異型的創新(非研發型),此機制是和持續增長的社會無序度一致的唯一機制。我們也討論了創新的異質特性。我們並且證明了各個部門的生產率分佈並非退化為單一的社會平均生產率,而是服從Maxwell‐Boltzmann 分佈,這一結果表明總需求對總產出存在真實的重要作用。我們隨後從複雜系統角度研究了經濟分配的問題。我們證明在封閉系統中,即使在很弱的假設前提下,收入或財富的分配不可避免得向兩極化的方向演化。隨後我們使用連續時間的Simon‐Yule 過程分析開放系統的經濟分配問題,此開放系統以新部門的不斷產生和遞減的代際影響力為特徵。我們證明了在此開放系統排除了分配兩極化的可能,代際類型穩定性必然在一定階段崩潰。 ; 隨後我們研究了路徑依賴、無限方差和雙參數Poisson‐Dirichlet 過程。我們發現主流的新古典宏觀經濟學的建模方法在此框架內無穩固的數學基礎。 ; 我們從更一般和更哲學的角度分析了一些涉及經濟學研究方法和範式的基本問題。我們主張複雜系統研究方法不僅在包括物理學和生物學的自然科學領域具有啟發性,在經濟、金融和其他社會科學領域裡同樣如此。我們認為,各式經濟系統儘管存在各自的特殊性,但總是沿著從低熵態向高熵態的方向演化,並在社會經濟生活各個領域出現不斷增長和發展的複雜的耗散結構。複雜系統方法的引入有助於對許多經濟謎題提供科學的解釋。除了傳統的經濟研究對象,在同一分析框架內,我們分析了現代企業制度、城市、政治和司法制度以及宗教等相關問題。 ; In the essays we employ the complex system perspective to analyze growth, distribution and related fundamental socioeconomic issues where the economy is viewed as a complex system with large degrees of freedom. ; We first propose a non-homogeneous Poisson innovation growth model with no representative agent to show that the ultimate engine of sustainable economic growth stems from mutation-style innovation (not R & D style), which is the only mechanism consistent with ever-increasing degree of social disorder. Heterogeneous innovation impacts are also investigated. And we show that sectoral productivity distribution in an economic system does not degenerate to the social average productivity level but follows the Maxwell- Boltzmann distribution instead, which in turn implies that aggregate demand has real impacts on total output. ; The economic distribution issue is then investigated from the complex system perspective. We show that in closed economic systems, under weak assumptions, distribution in income or wealth inevitably evolves into polarization. Then we employ the continuous-time Simon-Yule process to analyze distribution in an open economic system with innovation and decreasing intergenerational influence. We show distribution polarization is impossible ...

Lee Chun Sing. ; Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2006. ; Includes bibliographical references (leaves 64-68). ; Abstracts in English and Chinese. ; Abstract --- p.i-ii ; Acknowledgment --- p.iii ; Contents --- p.iv ; Lists of Tables --- p.vi ; Lists of Figures --- p.vii ; Chapter Chapter One --- Introduction --- p.1 ; Chapter Chapter Two --- The Basic Model with Exogeneous Real Interest Rate --- p.6 ; Chapter 2.1 --- Introduction --- p.6 ; Chapter 2.2 --- Benchmark Model --- p.9 ; Chapter 2.3 --- Discussion of Results --- p.18 ; Chapter 2.3.1 --- Agent Behaviour --- p.19 ; Chapter 2.4 --- Numerical Examples --- p.23 ; Chapter 2.4.1 --- Base Results --- p.25 ; Chapter Chapter Three --- The Basic Model with Endogeneous Real Interest Rate --- p.28 ; Chapter 3.1 --- Numerical Examples --- p.30 ; Chapter 3.1.1 --- Base Results --- p.30 ; Chapter 3.2 --- Government Policy Evaluation --- p.33 ; Chapter 3.2.1 --- Education Subsidies --- p.35 ; Chapter 3.2.2 --- Wage Subsidy --- p.35 ; Chapter 3.2.3 --- Base Case Outcome --- p.36 ; Chapter Chapter Four --- Conclusions --- p.40 ; Appendix A --- p.41 ; Appendix B --- p.42 ; Appendix C --- p.42 ; Tables --- p.47 ; Figures --- p.58 ; References --- p.64

Kam Ying Chuen. ; Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2000. ; Includes bibliographical references (leaves 81-83). ; Abstracts in English and Chinese. ; Chapter 1 --- Introduction --- p.1 ; Chapter 2 --- Overview of Hong Kong Stock Market --- p.3 ; Chapter 2.1 --- Stock Exchange of Hong Kong --- p.3 ; Chapter 2.2 --- Hang Seng Index --- p.4 ; Chapter 2.3 --- Influences of the United States --- p.5 ; Chapter 2.4 --- Hong Kong Government's Intervention --- p.6 ; Chapter 3 --- Literature Review --- p.8 ; Chapter 3.1 --- Stable and Student t Distributions --- p.8 ; Chapter 3.2 --- Generalized Distribution --- p.10 ; Chapter 3.3 --- Socio-economic Model --- p.11 ; Chapter 3.4 --- Extreme Value Analysis --- p.11 ; Chapter 4 --- Methodology --- p.14 ; Chapter 4.1 --- Homogeneous Model --- p.15 ; Chapter 4.2 --- Inhomogeneous Model --- p.15 ; Chapter 4.3 --- Model Validity --- p.16 ; Chapter 4.3.1 --- Exceedance Rate --- p.17 ; Chapter 4.3.2 --- Distribution of Excesses --- p.17 ; Chapter 4.3.3 --- Independence --- p.18 ; Chapter 5 --- Data --- p.19 ; Chapter 5.1 --- Minute-by-minute Returns --- p.20 ; Chapter 5.2 --- Daily returns --- p.21 ; Chapter 5.3 --- Explanatory Variables for the Inhomogeneous Model --- p.21 ; Chapter 6 --- Empirical Results: Minute-by-minute Returns --- p.24 ; Chapter 6.1 --- Shape Parameter k --- p.24 ; Chapter 6.2 --- Location Parameter μ --- p.25 ; Chapter 6.3 --- Scale Parameter σ --- p.26 ; Chapter 6.4 --- Conditional Scale Parameter ψ --- p.27 ; Chapter 6.5 --- Specification Test --- p.29 ; Chapter 7 --- Empirical Results: Daily Returns --- p.29 ; Chapter 7.1 --- Homogeneous Model --- p.30 ; Chapter 7.2 --- Inhomogeneous Model --- p.31 ; Chapter 7.2.1 --- Constant Term --- p.32 ; Chapter 7.2.2 --- Dow Jones Industrial Average Returns --- p.33 ; Chapter 7.2.3 --- Volatility Indicators --- p.34 ; Chapter 7.2.4 --- Monday Dummy --- p.35 ; Chapter 7.2.5 --- Time Trend --- p.36 ; Chapter 7.2.6 --- Duration Dummy --- p.37 ; Chapter 7.2.7 --- Indicator for the Behavior of the ...

"From 1368 to 1953, China's administrative divisions were mainly composed of counties, prefectures, and provinces. This book shows the population figures, density, and changes in the provincial population in China during this period and population figures of each major city and town and its proportion in terms of the provincial population during this period - the urbanization rate. Data in this book is drawn partly from historical sources and partly from statistical-model-based calculations. The book also includes provincial population maps in 1393, and their original statistical models, population databases, and metadata"--

"From 1368 to 1953, China's administrative divisions were mainly composed of counties, prefectures, and provinces. This book shows the population figures, density, and changes in the provincial population in China during this period and population figures of each major city and town and its proportion in terms of the provincial population during this period - the urbanization rate. Data in this book is drawn partly from historical sources and partly from statistical-model-based calculations. The book also includes provincial population maps in 1393, and their original statistical models, population databases, and metadata"--

Shi Hui. ; Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2006. ; Includes bibliographical references (leaves 31-34). ; Abstracts in English and Chinese. ; Contents ; Chapter 1 --- Introduction --- p.1 ; Chapter 2 --- Literature Review --- p.4 ; Chapter 3 --- Theoretical Model and Predictions --- p.7 ; Chapter 4 --- Hypotheses Development ; Chapter 5 --- Research Methodology ; Chapter 5.1 --- Data --- p.15 ; Chapter 5.2 --- Variables --- p.16 ; Chapter 5.3 --- Regression Models --- p.18 ; Chapter 6 --- Empirical Results --- p.21 ; Chapter 6.1 --- Individual Housework Time ; Chapter 6.2 --- Housework Allocation Within a Family ; Chapter 7 --- Conclusion --- p.27 ; References --- p.31 ; Tables --- p.35

經歷十三年風雨,香港樓價再創歷史新高。有云:「禍兮福所倚」,業主得益於財富增長的同時,亦擔心高速增長埋下泡沫爆破的伏線。因樓價高企,年青人置業困難,社會不滿亦日漸升溫。 ; 在國際貨幣基金組織出言警告後,香港金融管理局連同財政司相繼推出措施如額外印花稅,以及收緊不同物業種類的按揭上限,希望保持樓市健康及穩定發展。一石激起千重浪,政策推出後輿論不絶,但至今仍未有人以嚴謹的邏輯推論分析新政策的影響。本文以Stein (1995)的模型作藍本,稍作修改,以分析新政對樓價的影響。 ; 按照文中模型計算,於當前經濟環境下,新措施確能維持樓市健康及穩定發展。額外印花稅能壓抑樓價時,收緊不同物業種類的按揭上限能保持樓價平穩。理論模型同時指出,兩樣政策都不是萬能丹,政府於調控樓市時應先評估當前經濟基礎,否則有機會事與願違。 ; House price in Hong Kong is reaching its historical high. People start to worry a sudden drop of house price as what they had experienced in year 1997. Social disputes emerged and the Hong Kong government has taken several measures in reaction. Policies such as the Multi-down payment constraint by the HKMA and special stamp duty by the Financial Secretary are implemented in response to the soaring house price. The Media and the general public are keen to explore the effects and the consequences of the policies. However, little effort has been done to study the impact of the enacted policy in a systematic way. ; This thesis augmented the model developed by Stein (1995) to examine the housing price behavior of Hong Kong. Simulation results justified the government's policies. SSD helps to lower the house price while multi-down payment policy helps to stabilize the house price. However, for the policies to be effective, the government needs to spend a lot of efforts to examine the underlying economic fundamentals to avoid unintended results. ; Detailed summary in vernacular field only. ; Detailed summary in vernacular field only. ; Detailed summary in vernacular field only. ; Wong, Long Ho. ; Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2012. ; Includes bibliographical references (leaves 53-54). ; Abstracts also in Chinese. ; Abstract --- p.i ; 擇要 --- p.ii ; Acknowledgement --- p.iii ; Chapter 1. --- Introduction --- p.1 ; Chapter 2. --- Hong Kong's Post-Tsunami Economic Background --- p.4 ; Chapter 3. --- Characteristics of the Hong Kong Residential Property Market --- p.7 ; Chapter 3.1. --- Price and Transactions --- p.8 ; Chapter 3.2. --- Market ...

Ng Hoi Lam. ; Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2004. ; Includes bibliographical references (leaves 138-149). ; Abstracts in English and Chinese. ; Abstract --- p.ix ; Acknowledgments --- p.xi ; List of Abbreviations,Tables and Figures --- p.xii ; Chapter Chapter 1 --- Introduction: Summit in Sino-American relations --- p.1 ; Chapter 1.1 --- Magic Figure --- p.1 ; Chapter - --- 30th Anniversary of Rapprochement between the US and China ; Chapter 1.2 --- Puzzle --- p.3 ; Chapter - --- The Central question ; Chapter 1.3 --- Layout --- p.6 ; Chapter 1.4 --- Argument --- p.6 ; Chapter Chapter 2 --- Literature Review: Linking the internal politics to decision-making process of foreign policy Rational model VS Power model in High politics --- p.8 ; Chapter 2.1 --- What is a Summit? --- p.8 ; Chapter 2.2 --- Who is/ are the person(s) in-charge of foreign policy making process? --- p.11 ; Chapter 2.3 --- Foreign Policy decision making model(s) ; Chapter - --- Rationality model VS Power model --- p.16 ; Chapter 2.4 --- Linking internal and external politics ; Chapter - --- Two-level game instead of realism --- p.21 ; Chapter 2.5 --- Value of summitry --- p.25 ; Chapter - --- A photo-taking arena ; Chapter - --- Symbolism or substance? ; Chapter 2.6 --- Summitry in APEC --- p.32 ; Chapter Chapter 3 --- Methodology & Theoretical Framework: Summitry for settling legitimacy dilemma by two-level game --- p.34 ; Chapter 3.1 --- Focusing the subject --- p.34 ; Chapter 3.2 --- Research Method and Data --- p.38 ; Chapter 3.3 --- Nature of Sino-American relations --- p.39 ; Chapter 3.4 --- Summitry under two-level game --- p.47 ; Chapter 3.5 --- Pattern in APEC summits --- p.53 ; Chapter 3.6 --- "Modeling in 3 'I's´ؤInternational, internal and individual" --- p.55 ; Chapter Chapter 4 --- A Year of Presidential Elections: The case of 1996 --- p.61 ; Chapter 4.1 --- Manila APEC --- p.61 ; Chapter 4.2 --- Jiang's Taiwan Policy ; Chapter - --- How did the 'Eight Points' work under internal politics --- p.62 ...

by Chan, Cheuk-Wah. ; Thesis submitted in: August 1997. ; Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1998. ; Includes bibliographical references. ; Abstract also in Chinese. ; Chapter CHAPTER ONE --- p.1. ; Chapter 1.1.-- --- The main theme ; Chapter 1.2. -- --- Theoretical background ; Chapter 1.2.1. -- --- The proper role of the state in the economy ; Chapter 1.2.2. -- --- Conception of the development state ; Chapter 1.2.3. -- --- Politics of defining the role of the state ; Chapter 1.2.4. -- --- The relative autonomy of the state ; Chapter 1.2.5. -- --- "The ISH Model-- Institutions, Strategic actions of agents, Historical contingencies" ; Chapter 1.2.6. -- --- The ISH Model and the economic dynamics in Hong Kong ; Chapter CHAPTER TWO --- p.22. ; Chapter 2 -- --- "Historical Background, Contingency and International Hurricane (from the mid of 1940s to the mid 1950s)" ; Chapter 2.1. -- --- Introduction ; Chapter 2.2. -- --- Historical background ; Chapter 2.3. -- --- Conflicts between China and the West (Korean War and Cold War) ; Chapter 2.4. -- --- Hong Kong's fluctuating economy and the colonial minimal government ; Chapter CHAPTER THREE --- p.44. ; Chapter 3. --- The Dynamics of the Process of Economic Restructuring and the Strategies of the Industrialists (1950s-60s) ; Chapter 3.1. -- --- Introduction ; Chapter 3.2. -- --- The path of economic restructuring ; Chapter 3.2.1. -- --- Profile of textiles industry ; Chapter 3.2.2.-- --- rofile of clothing industry ; Chapter 3.2.3. -- --- Profile of toys and plastic industry ; Chapter 3.3.-- --- Strategies of the Chinese industrialists ; Chapter CHAPTER FOUR --- p.62. ; Chapter 4. --- Hong Kong Government's Role and Selective Interventions in the Economy ; Chapter 4.1. -- --- Introduction ; Chapter 4.2. -- --- Monetary/fiscal policy with colonial bias ; Chapter 4.3. -- --- Housing policy ; Chapter 4.4. -- --- Investment and trade promotion ; Chapter 4.5. -- --- Land and infrastructure development ; Chapter 4.6. -- --- Influences on the prices and ...

In the past two decades, China has achieved world renown for reducing rural poverty. However, it is becoming harder to reduce poverty and inequality further in China, even though its economy continues to grow. This report compares the impact specific rural public investments can have on promoting growth and reducing poverty and inequality. Returns to these investments are calculated for the nation as a whole and for three economic zones in the west, central, and coastal regions of the country. Government expenditures that have the highest impact on poverty and growth include education, agricultural research and development, and rural infrastructure (roads, electricity, and telecommunications). Notably, spending on irrigation and anti-poverty loans had minimal impact. The report discusses the implications of these findings for setting future priorities for government investment. It also suggests avenues for future research and calls for a better understanding of how to improve the effectiveness of public resources. This report will be of interest to professionals involved in rural poverty reduction, rural development, agricultural growth, food security, and public investment policy. ; PR ; IFPRI1; GRP3; Theme 9; Public Policy and Investment

Yao, Wang. ; Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2010. ; Includes bibliographical references (leaves 38-39). ; Abstracts in English and Chinese. ; Abstract --- p.i ; Acknowledgements --- p.ii ; Contents --- p.iii ; Chapter 1 --- Introduction --- p.1 ; Chapter 2 --- A Case Study of the Land Market in Hong Kong --- p.7 ; Chapter 2.1 --- Background --- p.7 ; Chapter 2.2 --- Institutions related to the land market --- p.7 ; Chapter 2.2.1 --- Land Disposals --- p.8 ; Chapter 2.2.2 --- Public Housing --- p.9 ; Chapter 2.3 --- Recent Land and Housing Market History --- p.10 ; Chapter 2.3.1 --- Land Supply and Land Prices --- p.11 ; Chapter 3 --- A Theory of Political Economy of Land Supply --- p.16 ; Chapter 3.1 --- Model Setup --- p.16 ; Chapter 3.2 --- Definition of Equilibrium --- p.19 ; Chapter 3.3 --- Equilibrium Characterization --- p.20 ; Chapter 3.4 --- Comparative Statics --- p.28 ; Chapter 4 --- Conclusion --- p.31 ; Appendix --- p.33 ; Reference --- p.38