A solid team of authors of this monograph has made a rather serious attempt to study the basics of applied analysis in the foreign policy of the state, information aspects of their methodological support, modern approaches to the study of international politics, targeted structuring of foreign policy analysis and features of operational and analytical work, the nature, categories and specifics of the leading international think tanks and research institutions, features of system modeling and forecasting of political situations in the world – all this in the compartment has traditionally set the tone in determining and promoting the foreign policy of any nation.
Currently, social networks are increasingly being used as an effective medium for public diplomacy. The article is devoted to the consideration of the phenomenon of Twitter diplomacy and its role in the foreign policy of most countries of the world. The events of recent years show that Twitter has not only become a new tool in diplomatic activity, but also changed the way the diplomatic processes themselves are perceived. Diplomats and world political leaders have begun to understand the benefits of some of Twitter's services and capabilities to maintain the most favorable relationships in a networked public space. Thanks to Twitter, the relationship between social networks and diplomacy began to transform into a dynamically developing modern phenomenon, showing that social networks can play both negative (Twitter revolutions, social instability, the formation of negative public opinion, etc.), and a positive important role in building favorable relations and ensuring peace between peoples. Therefore, Twitter today remains the most popular social network for world political leaders and foreign ministries of several countries.
В статье рассматриваются основные компоненты внешнеполитического дискурса Китая. ; The global political situation and the international status of China require that the country increase ef-forts to build its foreign policy discourse system, rethink its relations with the world and share Chinese wisdom with other states. China's foreign policy discourse is mainly a discourse that reflects the unique political system, ideology and theory of the country.
We strive to show the direction of the Georgian foreign policy, which is fully oriented towards European integration and economic development. The focus of Georgia's foreign policy is shifting to the EU region. European integration into the economic and political space is the main direction of Georgia's development. Today, integration processes between Georgia and the European Union are going on in such areas as economy, politics, and security. The undoubted political significance of rapprochement with the EU is connected, first of all, with Georgia's concern for security. Development in a peaceful and stable environment is not only the national interest of Georgia, but also the priority of the entire civilized world. In this regard, the coincidence of interests of Georgia and the Western world is obvious. Georgia's cooperation with the European Union began in the 1990s. The first official agreement signed in 1992 with the EU and regulating the priority areas of cooperation was the 1999 Partnership and Cooperation Agreement. Georgia adopted the European Neighborhood Policy Action Plan in 2006, the Eastern Partnership Communiqué was signed in 2008 and the Mobility Partnership Joint Declaration was signed in 2009. The Association Agreement signed in 2014 is an important milestone for Georgia on the path to EU integration. The agreement is basically an action plan for the modernization of the country, it provides for the strengthening of democratic institutions and the promotion of economic growth.
The predicted negative trends in Russian demography (falling birth rates, population decline) actualize the need to strengthen measures of family and population policy. Our research purpose is to identify groups of Russian regions with similar characteristics in the family sphere using cluster analysis. The findings should make an important contribution to the field of family policy. We used hierarchical cluster analysis based on the Ward method and the Euclidean distance for segmentation of Russian regions. Clustering is based on four variables, which allowed assessing the family institution in the region. The authors used the data of Federal State Statistics Service from 2010 to 2015. Clustering and profiling of each segment has allowed forming a model of Russian regions depending on the features of the family institution in these regions. The authors revealed four clusters grouping regions with similar problems in the family sphere. This segmentation makes it possible to develop the most relevant family policy measures in each group of regions. Thus, the analysis has shown a high degree of differentiation of the family institution in the regions. This suggests that a unified approach to population problems' solving is far from being effective. To achieve greater results in the implementation of family policy, a differentiated approach is needed. Methods of multidimensional data classification can be successfully applied as a relevant analytical toolkit. Further research could develop the adaptation of multidimensional classification methods to the analysis of the population problems in Russian regions. In particular, the algorithms of nonparametric cluster analysis may be of relevance in future studies. ; Government Council on Grants, Russian Federation ; The article has been supported by the Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation № 211, contract № 02.A03.21.0006.
The article analyzes the issues of contemporary Russian-Chinese international relations. The author considers the challenges of economic, political and military cooperation of the two countries taking into account the foreign policy situation on the world stage. ; В статье анализируются проблемы современных российско-китайских международных отношений. Рассматривается проблематика экономического, политического и военного сотрудничества двух стран c учетом внешнеполитической конъюнктуры на мировой арене.
The article provides a retrospective analysis of the development of political relations between Japan and Russia from the middle of the XIX century to the present. The international relations have a nearly three-hundred-year history that reflects various periods of recession and recovery, stability and tension. There was and is a diplomatic struggle of states for financial strength, influence on the world stage, standing up for the national interests in the territorial issue, etc. But despite such moments, these relations did not go beyond the boundaries of "peaceful". Russia and Japan, as strong players in the Pacific region, have always understood the need for cooperation and have looked for it in political, economic and cultural formats. At the present stage relations between Japan and Russia include different areas: security, economy, culture, science. But the unsigned amicable agreement, which has been delayed for more than 70 years, does not provide ample opportunities for further development of productive mutually beneficial relations. Through the "prehistory" of modern bilateral relations between Russia and Japan, the sequence and nature of relations between the countries is determined. The key aspect that determines the sequence and nature of relations between countries is the historical connection. The material of the article is ranked by time periods (stages), the factors that influenced each of the stages are investigated, and the main problems of the relationships are determined. Special emphasis is placed on the problems of our times, in particular the territorial issue of the Southern Kuril Islands, which were formed historically. Today the relations are based on solving common problems in the economy, security and energy. Within the framework of common interests Japan and Russia are seeking to resolve a long-running dispute. Thus, the article consistently reveals the "prehistory" and the nature of modern bilateral relations. The stages and factors that influenced each of the stages are studied, the corresponding conclusions and forecasts are made. ; В статье проводится ретроспективный анализ развития политических отношений между Японией и Россией с середины XIX века до настоящего времени. Межгосударственные отношения имеют почти трехсотлетнюю историю, которая отражает различные периоды спада и подъёма, стабильности и напряженности. Шла и идет дипломатическая борьба государств за финансовое благополучие, влияние на мировых рынках, отстаивание своих интересов в территориальном вопросе и т. д. Но не смотря на такие моменты, эти отношения не выходили за грани «мирных». Россия и Япония, как сильные игроки тихоокеанского региона, всегда понимали необходимость сотрудничества и стремились к нему в политическом, экономическом и культурном форматах. На современном этапе, отношения Японии и России включают в себя разные направления: безопасность, экономика, культура, наука. Но неподписанное мировое соглашение, которое затянулось вот уже более чем на 70 лет, не дает широких возможностей дальнейшего развития продуктивных взаимовыгодных отношений. Через «предысторию» современных двухсторонних отношений России и Японии, определяется последовательность и характер взаимоотношений между странами. Ключевым аспектом, определяющим последовательность и характер взаимоотношений между странами, выступает историческая связь. Материал статьи ранжируется по временным периодам (этапам), исследуются факторы, которые оказывали влияние на каждом из этапов, определяются главные проблемы взаимоотношений. Особый акцент делается на проблемах современности, в частности территориального вопроса Южных Курил, которые сформировались исторически. Сегодня отношения строятся на решении общих задач в вопросах экономики и безопасности, энергетики. В рамках общих интересов Япония и Россия стремятся урегулировать давний спор. Таким образом, в статье последовательно раскрывается «предыстория» и характер современных двухсторонних отношений. Исследуются этапы, факторы, которые оказывали влияние на каждом из этапов, делаются соответствующие выводы и прогнозы.
The paper discusses the role of conceptual metaphor in the foreign policy discoursewhich is its part and parcel. Conceptual metaphor is a universal tool of a politician bywhich he influences and manipulates public consciousness to solve his own problems. Conceptualmetaphor is a derivative of political struggle and the means of comprehension offoreign policy as it reflects the situation in the world. ; В статье рассматривается функционирование метафор во внешнеполитическомдискурсе. Метафора – универсальный инструмент политика, посредством которогоон, влияя на общественное сознание, манипулирует им, решая свои проблемы. Ме-тафоры являются производными политической борьбы и средством осмыслениявнешней политики, поскольку отражают сложившуюся ситуацию в мире.
In: Vestnik Volgogradskogo Gosudarstvennogo Universiteta: naučno-teoretičeskij žurnal = Science journal of Volgograd State University. Serija 4, Istorija, regionovedenie, meždunarodnye otnošenija = History. Area studies. International relations, Band 21, Heft 2, S. 104-111
The main idea of this article is to describe the process of Turkish foreign policy evolvement during the rule of Justice and Development party (JDP). From weak economy and unstable political situation in 2001, JDP quickly formulated a new strategy of foreign policy and stabilized economy. In the article the Turkish foreign policy in the 21st century is divided into several stages which respond to different international threats and circumstances. The first stage was a peacekeeping stage when Turkey tried to stabilize the situation near its borders and implement peace initiatives for the purpose to find new markets and allies. As a result, Turkey formulated a new strategy of foreign policy, called "Zero Problems Policy" which aimed to create a ring of friendly countries on the borders. On the second stage, Turkish foreign policy was more active – Turkey tried to balance among regional power centers and confront with one of the most powerful actors – Israel. Confrontation with Tel Aviv was a preface to the third stage, and today under the influence of "Arab Spring" and desire to change its role in international relations, Turkey refused "Zero Problems Policy" strategy and turned to a new aggressive and revanchist idea – neo- Ottomanism. Ankara tries to build a new regional set of rules where Turkey will play a leading role.
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Introduction. The article presents the results of studying the problem of interaction between science and diplomacy, the analysis of scientific diplomacy in domestic and foreign practice. The purpose of the article is to analyze scientific diplomacy as a phenomenon within the framework of he state's foreign policy and as a form of public diplomacy. Methods. The methodological basis of the study was general scientific methods, such as analysis, synthesis and generalization; empirical level methods: observation, comparison, grouping; special research methods. Results and Discussion. The article sets forth the interpretation of the concept of scientific diplomacy by various authors, reviewed its «classical» areas, conducted a retrospective analysis of scientific diplomacy in Russia. The article highlights and describes the features characteristic of the domestic practice of using scientific diplomacy at the present stage of development. In particular, the author gives the examples of joint projects implementation, carries out an analysis of information on the joint publications of Russian and foreign scientists stimulating international cooperation in science and technology, which is one of the goals of science diplomacy. Conclusion. The author has given recommendations for improving the mechanism for implementing and widely introducing into national practice the basics of scientific diplomacy for the purpose of strengthening international cooperation and the national goals of the state.
The North Korean nuclear missile crisis came in 2017 as a result of DPRK improving their missile capabilities. The crisis exacerbated the tension in the relationship between the US and North Korea. Both sides now openly declare that they are ready to use nuclear weapons. The purpose of this article is to conduct a comprehensive study of possible US strategies of tackling North Korean nuclear crisis and to identify the most probable option. The research is based primarily on statistical data as well as on the analysis of the official US political discourse. In the course of this study, we come to the conclusion that the likelihood of a military escalation of the crisis is extremely low. The strategy chosen by the US is that of economic and military pressure, and the US intends to coerce its counterpart to negotiations from a position of strength. Russia's involvement in the negotiation process is extremely unlikely. The US has chosen to act unilaterally.Key words: North Korea, USA, nuclear missile crisis, policy, Trump, Kim Jong-Un, international security. ; Северокорейский ракетно-ядерный кризис в 2017 г. стал результатом совершенствования КНДР своего потенциала в области ракетных технологий. Кризис обострил отношения между США и КНДР. Обе стороны конфликта открыто заявляют о готовности применения ядерного оружия. Цель данной статьи – провести комплексное исследование возможных стратегий США в отношении северокорейского ядерного кризиса и выявить наиболее вероятный сценарий действий администрации США, основываясь в первую очередь на статистических данных, а также на анализе официального американского политического дискурса. В ходе данного исследования мы приходим к выводу, что вероятность военной эскалации кризиса крайне низка. Стратегия, избранная США, – это преимущественно экономическое и военное давление, принуждение к переговорам. Вовлечение России в переговорный процесс крайне маловероятно. США выбрали стратегию односторонних действий.Ключевые слова: КНДР, ядерно-ракетный кризис, политика, Д. Трамп, Ким Чен Ын, международная безопасность.
This article focuses on the role of the energy factor in the formation of foreign policy of the Republic of Azerbaijan. The author conducted a brief analysis of the basic directions of Azerbaijan's oil and gas strategy, which play an important role for the energy security of the European Union. As noted in the article on the increase in competition between countries for influence and access to hydrocarbon reserves in the Caspian region. ; Данная статья посвящена роли энергетического фактора в формировании внешней политики Азербайджанской Республики. Автор провел краткий анализ основных направлений нефтегазовой стратегии Азербайджана. Также в статье отмечается рост конкуренции между странами за влияние и доступ к запасам углеводородов в Каспийском регионе.
The third and final article of the three-part series of articles «Artificial intelligence in the economy and politics of our time» (the first and second articles of the series were published in the fourth and fifth issues of the journal for this year, respectively) presents the results of a study of the goals, motivations and specifics of the adoption of national strategies to support the development of artificial intelligence in different countries. It is shown that such a strategy in Russia is based on the idea of the most important role of using artificial intelligence in solving the most complex economic, social, and military-political problems of the country. Differences in conceptual approaches to the development of research and practical use of artificial intelligence developments in the national strategies of the largest countries of the world — the United States, China and India.