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"Prepared under the auspices of the Columbia University Council for Research in the Social Sciences." ; Mode of access: Internet.

"The United States makes negative predictions for the Mexican Presidential Campaigns." EXCELSIOR. Mexico, D.F. July 6, 1927. The North American press predicts that the presidential elections will bring about a civil war. Advantages of a civilian president Gen. Alvaro Obregón hostile toward the United States. "Scandal announced in the permanent commission." EXCELSIOR. Mexico, D.F. July 6, 1927. A scandal is feared in the Permanent Commission of Congress as they reconsider the appointment of the Interim Governor of Puebla, Gen. Donato Bravo Izquierdo, because of election fraud. "Looting of the Anti-reelectionist Party offices." EXCELSIOR. Mexico, D.F. July 6, 1927. "More termination of employees in the political arena." EXCELSIOR. Mexico, D.F. July 6, 1927. / "Malos augurios se hacen en E. Unidos de la Campaña Presidencial en México". EXCELSIOR. México, D.F. Julio 6, 1927. La prensa norteamericana predice que las elecciones presidenciales provocarán una guerra civil. Ventajas de un Presidente civil. El Gral. Alvaro Obregón hostil a Estados Unidos. "Escándalo que se anuncia en la Permanente". EXCELSIOR. México, D.F. Julio 6, 1927. Se teme un escándalo en la Comisión Permanente del Congreso de la Unión cuando se reconsidere el nombramiento del Gobernador Interino de Puebla, Gral. Donato Bravo Izquierdo, por fraude electoral. "Saqueo en las oficinas del Partido Antirreeleccionista". EXCELSIOR. México, D.F. Julio 6, 1927. "Más ceses a los empleados que se ocupan de política". EXCELSIOR. México, D.F. Julio 6, 1927.

Personal recollection of Hays' campaign defeats of 1928, 1930 and 1933 and career in government administration positions ; -3- Just thirty days before the 1924 state primary, I was called to Little Rock to manage the campaign of a lawyer twice my age for attorney general of the state. He was elected and I became the assistant in charge of civil law litigation. For two years I had a hectic time defending state officials. An energetic governor provoked some interesting litigation and thanks to him a friendly reporters I received more than sufficient publicity. In February of 1928 Governor John E. Martineau, in his first term, resigned to accept an appointment to the Federal bench, leaving an open field for the governor's office. I announced my candidacy because a lot of influential political leaders thought I could win and I was sure I wouldn't be permanently damaged if I lost. The Lieutenant Governor, who automatically stepped into the governor's office, became a candidate and with his opposition divided among six opponents won the nomination. I was the runner up. The next election year (1930) presented a more difficult situation. I postponed a decision about the race as long as I could. I had opposed the highway financing program in 1928 and it appeared by 1930 to many that my predictions regarding its improvidence were correct, but I knew the odds were against me. The highway program involved an expenditure of more than a hundred million dollars and with a depression on it looked like an impossible task to beat the machine. Deciding whether to run or not was a hard job. A college man put it, "The ball was tossed to you - you had to carry it," and it is true that I had to run or

Open letter written to the editor of the Arkansas Alumnus ; a profound influence into the lives of two million people. Each college will have a part to play. For Business Administration graduates it means ability to appraise and direct the forces that make for a more democratic and cooperative type of business enterprise. For the Agris it means aid in lifting farm living standards by creating new forms of wealth. Agricultural leadership now implies something more than knowing when to plant corn or the answers in legislation to collective ills. An understanding of human factors and an ability to promote cooperative endeavor are also highly essential. We lawyers, too, must understand how economic change is affecting professional requirements. Henry Maine said, "Social opinion should always be in advance of law and the greater or less happiness of a people depends upon the narrowness of the gulf between them." Hence, law must not lag too far behind social opinion. The new order has a place for the lawyer who is sensitive to wrongs that cannot be redressed except for progressive and socially minded lawyers who know how to frame the desires and social planning of the people in legal procedures. There is also the traditional demand of a liberal education that it add to our appreciation of life wherever it is lived but life could not be more exciting in the world than in Arkansas during the last twenty years and if my predictions hold good it will be more exciting in the next twenty. Let's all stay in Arkansas. I have in tender memory the faculty members of 1915-19 and it is gratifying to know that so many of them are still well and active. God bless them every one. And for my class mates, greetings. It was a great class, not large but an exceptional one and I am very happy in the recollection of those associations. I have gotten more serious than you intended, perhaps, when you asked for this letter. It is a failing of mine that even the Sophomores of '15-'16 could not quite eliminate though they made me capable of smiling at myself when I get too solemn. I can feel a smile coming on right now and so I close this letter. Thanks for reminding me of the twentieth anniversary. Sincerely, Brooks Hays Little Rock, Ark.

Correspondence exchanged among Gen. Plutarco Elías Calles, Gen. Joaquín Amaro, Engr. Bartolomé Vargas Lugo and Dr. Bernardo Gastélum. Gen. Amaro; Director General of Military Education, expresses to Gen. Plutarco Elías Calles that it is a shame that his judgment regarding the progress of the nation has not been properly appreciated. He writes about the mistakes made for not knowing how to choose the right men to continue with the work of the revolutionary governments. He expresses that he has interpreted correctly his ideological position and has prevented the loss of the institutional values that the highest-level leaders of the nation must follow. Gen. Plutarco Elías Calles replies to Gen Amaro saying that unfortunately for the country, his predictions for the month of June became a reality and it is just missing an administrative and political disaster. He is sorry that the new group of leaders are not capable of forming a good government. Its characteristics are political passion, arrogance, lack of ability and honesty. They want to present themselves as "apostles of the proletariat". They have established paths to anarchy, which does not lead to people's well-being. The only way to success is the truth. He considers the nation will face a serious event. Gen. Plutarco Elías Calles sends to Gen. Amaro a copy of the memorandum he sent to Senator Elmer Thomas regarding the policy for silver by the United States. Gen. Plutarco Elías Calles confirms the receipt of a congratulatory letter for his birthday. Gen. Amaro informs that his son Joaquín will be hospitalized at the Saint Mary's Hospital in Rochester, MN to receive medical treatment. In a new letter, he informs him of the progress with the treatment. He informs of the birth of his son, Quinito's health and his decision to take a break since being at the hospital makes him nervous. He tells him that during 18 days he traveled across 16 states of the United States to go to Laredo and pick up his son Guillermo. Gen. Plutarco Elías Calles congratulates Gen. Amaro for the birth of his son. He is glad for the progress of Quinito's treatment and his physical recovery. He informs that he is aware of his trip across the Unites States, which is such a wonderful country, and expresses his observations regarding its economy, especially in the agricultural sector. In relation to Mexico, he predicts a crisis, the economy and the monetary system collapse because according the latest reports the Bank of Mexico it is bankrupt. On the other hand, capital flight is a threat. Gen. Amaro informs that his son Quinito will perhaps need a surgery. He writes about the social situation in the country and describes the situation in Mexico as artificial. Gen. Plutarco Elías Calles accepts that he writes him from Mexico and expresses his opinion, little encouraging, about the general situation of the country. He criticizes President Cárdenas' idea of creating a new party with a strong communist content. Gen. Amaro sends to Gen. Plutarco Elías Calles a report made by Engr. Bartolomé Vargas Lugo regarding the next presidential succession, the transformation of the PNR into the PMR and the possibility to create another party with the disgruntled groups with the management of the country and the party. He analyzes the state figures with political influence that could give their support for a party division before the next president election. He makes a detailed report about the situation in his native state Hidalgo, criticizes the President for being influenced by sycophants, analyzes the national situation, the relation with the United States and proposes as candidate for the presidency Gen. Joaquín Amaro. Gen. Plutarco Elías Calles replies giving his opinion, which is not encouraging, about the economic situation in the country, the Bank of Mexico and the oil issue. He considers the country is about to collapse. Memorandum related to the creation of a new party called "Partido Mexicanista Demócrata" (Mexican Democrat Party). It includes a report about the agrarian and worker situation in the country. / Correspondencia entre el Gral. PEC, Gral. Joaquín Amaro, Ing. Bartolomé Vargas Lugo y Dr. Bernardo Gastélum. El Gral. Amaro, Director General de Educación Militar, le hace saber al Gral. PEC que es lamentable que en esos momentos de desorientación no se hayan interpretado debidamente sus apreciaciones sobre la marcha general de la nación. Habla de los errores que se cometen al no saber elegir a los hombres capacitados para continuar la obra de los gobiernos de la Revolución. Le informa que él sí ha interpretado correctamente sus orientaciones ideológicas y ha evitado que se desvirtúen los conceptos institucionales en que deben apoyar su labor los altos dirigentes de la nación. El Gral. PEC le contesta al Gral. Amaro que para desgracia del país sus predicciones para el mes de junio se han venido realizando, sólo falta que ocurra un desastre en el orden administrativo y político. Lamenta que el grupo de hombres que se ha constituido en dirigente no es capaz de formar gobierno; sus características son el apasionamiento político, la vanidad, la falta de capacidad y de sinceridad, quieren presentarse como apóstoles del proletariado, se han trazado caminos de anarquía, ruta por la cual jamás se conduce a los pueblos al bienestar; el único camino del éxito es el de la verdad. Considera que la república está en vísperas de graves acontecimientos. el Gral. PEC le informa al Gral. Amaro que le envía el memorándum que le dirigió al senador Elmer Thomas en relación a la política de rehabilitación de la plata por Estados Unidos. El Gral. PEC acusa de recibida una felicitación por su onomástico. El Gral. Amaro le informa que su hijo Joaquín será internado en el Hospital Saint Mary's en Rochester, Minn., E.U.A. para recibir tratamiento; en otra carta le informa de los adelantos del mismo. Informa al Gral. PEC del nacimiento de otro hijo; de la salud de Quinito y de la decisión de tomarse unas vacaciones ya que la vida de hospital lo tiene nervioso. Le comunica que viajó durente 18 días por 16 estados de la Unión Americana rumbo a Laredo para recoger a su hijo Guillermo. El Gral. PEC felicita al Gral. Amaro por el nacimiento de otro de sus hijos; le alientan los progresos de su hijo Quinito en la recuperación de sus facultades físicas; le informa que está enterado de su viaje por 16 estados de ese maravilloso país (Estados Unidos) para ir a recoger a Laredo a su hijo Guillermo y de sus observaciones sobre la organización de su economía principalmente en lo concerniente al sector agrícola. En relación a México, vaticina una situación de crisis; la economía se desploma y el sistema monetario se derrumba, pues el Banco de México de acuerdo con sus últimos balances está en quiebra; por otro lado, la fuga de capitales es muy amenazante. El Gral. Amaro le informa que tal vez será necesario operar a su hijo Quinito; comenta sobre las cuestiones sociales del país y califica de artificial la situación que se vive en México. El Gral. PEC acepta que le escriba desde la ciudad de México y aprovecha para externarle su opinión, poco alentadora, sobre la situación general del país; critica la idea del Presidente Cárdenas de crear un nuevo partido con un fuerte contenido comunista. El Gral. Amaro anexa al Gral. PEC un informe elaborado por el Ing. Bartolomé Vargas Lugo relativo a la próxima sucesión presidencial, a la transformación del PNR en PRM y a la posibilidad de formar otro partido con los grupos descontentos con el manejo del país y del Partido. Analiza por estados las figuras con influencia política que apoyarían una escición partidista ante las próximas elecciones presidenciales; hace un informe detallado de las condiciones de su estado natal: Hidalgo; critica al Presidente por dejarse influenciar por los serviles; analiza la situación del país, las relaciones con Estados Unidos y propone como candidato a la Presidencia al Gral. Joaquín Amaro. El Gral. PEC contesta dando una opinión muy desalentadora sobre la situación económica del país, así como sobre el Banco de México y el conflicto petrolero; considera que el país está al borde del colapso. Memorándum relativo a la formación de un nuevo partido llamado "Partido Mexicanista Demócrata", incluye también un informe sobre la situación agraria y obrera del país.