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Bringing together business and engineering to reliability analysis With manufactured products exploding in numbers and complexity, reliability studies play an increasingly critical role throughout a product's entire life cycle-from design to post-sale support. Reliability: Modeling, Prediction, and Optimization presents a remarkably broad framework for the analysis of the technical and commercial aspects of product reliability, integrating concepts and methodologies from such diverse areas as engineering, materials science, statistics, probability, operations research, and management. Written

Editors' Note -- A Review of Rock Mechanics Studies in the United States Pertinent to Earthquake Prediction -- Volume Changes During Fracture and Frictional Sliding: A Review -- Friction of Rocks -- A Note on Permeability Changes in Geologic Material Due to Stress -- The Effect of Water on Stress Relaxation of Faulted and Unfaulted Sandstone -- Mineralogy and Physical Nature of Clay Goug -- Rock Friction-Effect of Confing Pressure, Temperature, and Pore Pressure -- Aspects of Asperity-Surface Interaction and Surface Damage of Rocks during Experimental Frictional Sliding -- Electrical Resistivity Changes in Rocks During Frictional Sliding and Fracture -- Seismic Velocity Changes during Fracture and Frictional Sliding -- Dilatancy and Fracture Induced Velocity Changes in Rock and their Relation to Frictional Sliding -- Velocity Anomalies: An Alternative Explanation Based on Data from Laboratory Experiments -- Creep, Stable Sliding, and Premonitory Slip -- Time-Dependent Friction and the Mechanics of Stick-Slip -- Transient Creep and Semibrittle Behavior of Crystalline Rocks -- Effect of Displacement Rate on the Real Area of Contact and Temperatures Generated During Frictional Sliding of Tennessee Sandstone -- Fracture Surface Energy of Olivine -- Fault and System Stiffnesses and Stick-Slip Phenomena -- Experimental Observations of Elastic Wave Radiation Characteristics from Tensile Cracks and Pre-existing Shear Faults -- Model Studies of Shear Displacement along a Pre-existing Fault -- Small Faults Formed as Deformation Bands in Sandstone -- Development of Faults as Zones of Deformation Bands and as Slip Surfaces in Sandstone -- Propagation of Slip along Frictional Surfaces -- Rupture and Particle Velocity During Frictional Sliding -- Nonuniform Friction as a Physical Basis for Earthquake Mechanics -- Comments to "Nonuniform Friction as a Physical Basis for Earthquake Mechanics" by A. Nur.

"This book examines the foremost techniques of hidden link predictions in stochastic social networks. It deals, principally, with methods and approaches that involve similarity index techniques, matrix factorization, reinforcement models, graph representations and community detections"--

"It is well known that augmenting a standard linear regression model with variables that are correlated with the error term but uncorrelated with the original regressors will increase asymptotic efficiency of the original coefficients. We argue that in the context of predicting excess returns, valid augmenting variables exist and are likely to yield substantial gains in estimation efficiency and, hence, predictive accuracy. The proposed augmenting variables are ex post measures of an unforecastable component of excess returns: ex post errors from macroeconomic survey forecasts and the surprise components of asset price movements around macroeconomic news announcements. These "surprises" cannot be used directly in forecasting--they are not observed at the time that the forecast is made--but can nonetheless improve forecasting accuracy by reducing parameter estimation uncertainty. We derive formal results about the benefits and limits of this approach and apply it to standard examples of forecasting excess bond and equity returns. We find substantial improvements in out-of-sample forecast accuracy for standard excess bond return regressions; gains for forecasting excess stock returns are much smaller"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site