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Scenario Planning: Critial Review
SSRN
Working paper
SCENARIO PLANNING AND CONTINGENCY PLANNING
In: Public productivity & management review, Band 17, Heft 3, S. 223-230
ISSN: 1044-8039
Techniques of scenario planning
In: Futures, Band 16, Heft 6, S. 651-654
Scenario Planning and Contingency Planning
In: Public Productivity & Management Review, Band 17, Heft 3, S. 223
Plausibility and probability in scenario planning
In: Foresight: the journal of future studies, strategic thinking and policy, Band 16, Heft 1, S. 54-74
ISSN: 1465-9832
Purpose–The purpose of this paper is to explore extant distinctions between plausibility and probability in scenario planning and re-frame the either/or stance in the literature within a broader set of methodological choice possibilities.Design/methodology/approach–The paper surveys the history of both terms in both the English language and more narrowly within scenario planning, critically assessing the confusions that have arisen. The paper questions the distinctions that have been made and offers a richer set of combinations to open up the methodological space available.Findings–The paper suggests that the either/or stances that have been dominant in the literature – and even shaped distinctions between different schools of scenario planning – must be surpassed by a richer set of combinations that open up new methodological approaches and possibilities.Research limitations/implications–This is a conceptual and exploratory paper. Therefore the findings are propositions and tentative.Practical implications–The paper opens up new ways of producing scenarios and may dissolve some of the infertile distinctions that have plagued the field to now.Originality/value–The paper dilutes distinctions that have been accepted for decades and opens up new possibilities in the scenarios field, which is growing and is now producing some 2,200 peer-reviewed articles/year in English alone as per the EBSCO database.
Contingency Scenario Planning using Generative AI
In: Finkenstadt, D. J., Sotiriadis, J., Guinto, P., & Eapen, T. T. (January 22, 2024). Contingency Scenario Planning using Generative AI. California Management Review Insights. https://cmr.berkeley.edu/2024/01/contingency-scenario-planning-using-generative-ai/
SSRN
Perceived Environmental Uncertainty in scenario planning
In: Futures: the journal of policy, planning and futures studies, Band 44, Heft 4, S. 338-346
ISSN: 0016-3287
Perceived Environmental Uncertainty in scenario planning
In: Futures, Band 44, Heft 4, S. 338-345
Scenario Planning: A Strategic Alternative
In: Public management: PM, Band 77, Heft 3, S. 4-8
ISSN: 0033-3611
A review of scenario planning
In: Futures: the journal of policy, planning and futures studies, Band 46, S. 23-40
ISSN: 0016-3287
Scenario Planning and Leadership Development
In: Political and Civic Leadership: A Reference Handbook, S. 945-955