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by Ho Yan Wing Bosco. ; Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1999. ; Includes bibliographical references (leaves 89-91). ; Abstract also in Chinese. ; ACKNOWLEDGMENTS --- p.iii ; LIST OF TABLES --- p.iv ; LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS --- p.v ; CHAPTER ; Chapter I --- INTRODUCTION --- p.1 ; Chapter II --- GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF THE ECONOMY OF HONG KONG --- p.7 ; Chapter III --- METHODOLOGY AND THE SPECIFICATION OF THE ERC MODEL --- p.11 ; Unit-Root Tests ; Co-integration and Error Correction Model ; The ERC Model ; Chapter IV --- THE ESTIMATED MODEL --- p.44 ; Chapter V --- POLICY SIMULATIONS AND THE DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER ANALYSIS --- p.62 ; Chapter VI --- CONCLUSION --- p.69 ; TABLES --- p.71 ; ILLUSTRATIONS --- p.82 ; BIBLIOGRAPHY --- p.89
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Shum Chun-Yin. ; Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2003. ; Includes bibliographical references (leaves 63-64). ; Abstracts in English and Chinese. ; Abstract --- p.i ; Acknowledgement --- p.iv ; Chapter 1 --- Introduction --- p.1 ; Chapter 2 --- Ordinal Contingency Table --- p.5 ; Chapter 2.1 --- Model --- p.5 ; Chapter 2.2 --- The Maximum Likelihood Method --- p.7 ; Chapter 2.3 --- Limitation of the Maximum Likelihood Estimation in Large Sample --- p.8 ; Chapter 2.4 --- The Partition Maximum Likelihood Approach --- p.9 ; Chapter 3 --- Modification of the Partition Maximum Likelihood Approach --- p.12 ; Chapter 3.1 --- The Modified Partition Maximum Likelihood Approach --- p.12 ; Chapter 3.2 --- Mx Implementation --- p.14 ; Chapter 3.2.1 --- Maximum Likelihood Procedure --- p.14 ; Chapter 3.2.2 --- Modified PML Procedure --- p.15 ; Chapter 3.3 --- Examples --- p.16 ; Chapter 3.3.1 --- Example 1 : Attitudes of Morality and Equality --- p.16 ; Chapter 3.3.2 --- Example 2 : A Panel Model for Political Efficacy --- p.17 ; Chapter 3.4 --- Limitation of the Modified PML Approach --- p.19 ; Chapter 3.5 --- Simulation Study for the Modified PML Approach --- p.20 ; Chapter 4 --- Generalization to Structural Equation Model --- p.22 ; Chapter 4.1 --- Model --- p.23 ; Chapter 4.2 --- Procedure --- p.24 ; Chapter 4.3 --- Examples --- p.26 ; Chapter 4.3.1 --- Example 1 : Attitudes of Morality and Equality --- p.26 ; Chapter 4.3.2 --- Example 2 : A Panel Model for Political Efficacy --- p.28 ; Chapter 5 --- Generalization to Stochastic Constraints on Thresholds --- p.31 ; Chapter 5.1 --- Model --- p.32 ; Chapter 5.2 --- Bayesian Analysis of the Model --- p.33 ; Chapter 5.3 --- Examples --- p.35 ; Chapter 5.3.1 --- Example 1 : Attitudes of Morality and Equality --- p.35 ; Chapter 5.3.2 --- Example 2 : A Panel Model for Political Efficacy --- p.36 ; Chapter 6 --- Conclusion and Discussion --- p.38 ; Chapter A --- Mx Script of the ML Estimation - for Example 1 --- p.40 ; Chapter B --- Mx Script of the Modified ...
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For at least a century academics and governmental researchers have been developing measures that would aid them in understanding income distributions, their differences with respect to geographic regions, and changes over time periods. It is a fascinating area due to a number of reasons, one of them being the fact that different measures, or indices, are needed to reveal different features of income distributions. The existing indices, the Gini index, the Bonferroni index and the Zenga index are intrinsically linked each other, whereas their emphasis are laid differently. One of the limitations of the existing indices is that they provide an overall measurement for the whole society and cannot distinguish the distributions with the same index value. This thesis works on the extension of the three indices and proposes a new index which can make comparison between any groups with different income level, for example, the richest group and the poorest group. The new index satisfies the axioms of inequality measures. The statistical inferential results of the new index are derived and their performance are tested by a simulation study and the results are used to analyze the income data of Hong Kong from Census and Statistics Department, HKSAR. ; 近一個世紀學術界和政府間的研究人員一直致力於創造和發展可以幫助理解不同國家地區收入分布和差異的測度。很多原因使之成為令人感興趣的研究領域,需要不同測度或指數用以理解收入分布的不同特征便是原因之一。Gini指數,Bonferroni 指數和Zenga指數等現有指數在本質上相互聯系,但側重點各有不同。可以對整個社會有一個整體測度而不能對具有相同指數的收入分布進行區分是現有指數的共同缺陷。本論文基於以上三種指數提出一種新的指數可以在不同收入水平間進行比較,例如,最富有階層和最貧困階層。新指數滿足收入不均測度的相關性質。本論文推導出新指數的相關統計推理結果並用數值模擬實驗進行了測試,最終用其結果對香港政府統計處的人口普查數據進行了分析。 ; Chen, Teng. ; Thesis M.Phil. Chinese University of Hong Kong 2015. ; Includes bibliographical references (leaves 59-61). ; Abstracts also in Chinese. ; Title from PDF title page (viewed on 05, October, 2016). ; Detailed summary in vernacular field only.
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經歷十三年風雨,香港樓價再創歷史新高。有云:「禍兮福所倚」,業主得益於財富增長的同時,亦擔心高速增長埋下泡沫爆破的伏線。因樓價高企,年青人置業困難,社會不滿亦日漸升溫。 ; 在國際貨幣基金組織出言警告後,香港金融管理局連同財政司相繼推出措施如額外印花稅,以及收緊不同物業種類的按揭上限,希望保持樓市健康及穩定發展。一石激起千重浪,政策推出後輿論不絶,但至今仍未有人以嚴謹的邏輯推論分析新政策的影響。本文以Stein (1995)的模型作藍本,稍作修改,以分析新政對樓價的影響。 ; 按照文中模型計算,於當前經濟環境下,新措施確能維持樓市健康及穩定發展。額外印花稅能壓抑樓價時,收緊不同物業種類的按揭上限能保持樓價平穩。理論模型同時指出,兩樣政策都不是萬能丹,政府於調控樓市時應先評估當前經濟基礎,否則有機會事與願違。 ; House price in Hong Kong is reaching its historical high. People start to worry a sudden drop of house price as what they had experienced in year 1997. Social disputes emerged and the Hong Kong government has taken several measures in reaction. Policies such as the Multi-down payment constraint by the HKMA and special stamp duty by the Financial Secretary are implemented in response to the soaring house price. The Media and the general public are keen to explore the effects and the consequences of the policies. However, little effort has been done to study the impact of the enacted policy in a systematic way. ; This thesis augmented the model developed by Stein (1995) to examine the housing price behavior of Hong Kong. Simulation results justified the government's policies. SSD helps to lower the house price while multi-down payment policy helps to stabilize the house price. However, for the policies to be effective, the government needs to spend a lot of efforts to examine the underlying economic fundamentals to avoid unintended results. ; Detailed summary in vernacular field only. ; Detailed summary in vernacular field only. ; Detailed summary in vernacular field only. ; Wong, Long Ho. ; Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2012. ; Includes bibliographical references (leaves 53-54). ; Abstracts also in Chinese. ; Abstract --- p.i ; 擇要 --- p.ii ; Acknowledgement --- p.iii ; Chapter 1. --- Introduction --- p.1 ; Chapter 2. --- Hong Kong's Post-Tsunami Economic Background --- p.4 ; Chapter 3. --- Characteristics of the Hong Kong Residential Property Market --- p.7 ; Chapter 3.1. --- Price and Transactions --- p.8 ; Chapter 3.2. --- Market ...
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