Suchergebnisse

THIS PAPER INTRODUCES SIX VARIABLES TO CAPTURE DIFFERENCES IN SOCIO-POLITICAL FORECASTING SYSTEMS, AND OFFERS A CATEGORIZATION OF FORECASTING APPROACHES. THESE ARE CROSS REFERENCED WITH THE FORECASTING CIRCUMSTANCES TO PRODUCE RECOMMENDATIONS FOR AN APPROPRIATE TECHNIQUE. MOST OF THE EXAMPLES ARE FROM FOREIGN POLICY AND INTERNATIONAL POLITICS, AND CONCENTRATE ON FOREIGN ENERGY POLICY.

THIS STUDY IS ABOUT POLITICAL CHANGE IN NORTH YEMEN DURING THE TWENTIETH CENTURY. PRIMARY EMPHASIS IS ON THE YEMEN ARAB REPUBLIC (YAR) FROM ITS INCEPTION IN 1962 TO 1980. HOWEVER, IN ORDER TO EMPHASIZE THE ELEMENTS OF CONTINUITY AS WELL AS CHANGE, THE AUTHOR HAS CHOSEN TO COMPARE EXPLICITLY THE INMATE SYSTEM OF THE FIRST HALF OF THE CENTURY TO THE YAR WHICH SUCCEEDED IT. ACCORDINGLY, CHAPTER 2 FOCUSES ON THE FORM AND DYNAMICS OF THE INAMATE AS REVIVED AND REVISED BY IMAM YAHYA IN THE 1930S AND 1940S. CHAPTERS 4 AND 5 EXAMINE THE POLITICS OF STATE BUILDING AND SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN THE YAR IN THE 1970S. THE TREATMENT OF THESE TWO ERAS IS BRIDGED BY CHAPTER 3, WHICH ANALYSES THE CAUSES AND EFFECTS OF CHANGES IN THE PERIODS JUST PRECEDING AND JUST FOLLOWING THE 1962 REVOLUTION. THE STUDY INCLUDES A CHAPTER ON THE "DILEMMAS OF THE 1980S" WHICH CONSISTS PRIMARILY OF AN INVENTORY OF BOTH THE MANY OBSTACLES TO NATIONAL COHESION AND A FEW MEANS OF OVERCOMING THOSE OBSTACLES. THE TEXT IS HEAVILY FOOTNOTED, AND IS FOLLOWED BY A SHORT CHRONOLOGY OF EVENTS AND A GOOD BIBLIOGRAPHY INTRODUCED BY A USEFUL BIBLIOGRAPHIC ESSAY. THE INDEX IS QUITE COMPREHENSIVE.

A DRAFT AFRICAN CHARTER OF HUMAN AND PEOPLE'S RIGHTS CAME INTO EXISTENCE IN 1981. THE AFRICAN CHARTER PROVIDES ONLY ONE INSTRUMENT, A COMMISSION, ENTRUSTED MAINLY WITH FACT-FINDING AND INVESTIGATORY DUTIES CONCERNING HUMAN RIGHTS VIOLATIONS. THIS INSTITUTIONAL WEAKNESS IS COMPENSATED FOR BY ARTICLES 25 AND 26 OF THE CHARTER, WHICH ARE EXPLAINED.

A THEORY OF CLASS CONFLICT BETWEEN WORKER AND CAPITALIST IN A SOCIETAL ORGANIZATION THAT COMBINES PRIVATE OWNERSHIP OF BUSINESS WITH REPRESENTATIVE POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS IS PRESENTED. THE CONDITIONS UNDER WHICH BOTH CLASSES CHOOSE COURSES OF ACTION THAT CONSTITUTE A CLASS COMPROMISE ARE DESCRIBED, AS IS THE ROLE OF THE STATE IN ENFORCING THE TERMS OF THE COMPROMISE.

This article argues that there is only one correct form of sociological method. Its form is dictated neither by questions arising from epistemology nor from the choice of methodological technique. Instead it puts forward a sequence of necessary operations which are called `socio-logic'.