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The main theme of Fire on the Water is that conventional measures of military balance, employed by both the general public and many policy experts, underestimate the threat that China's military modernization poses to the U.S. position in the Asia-Pacific region. Within a decade, China's leaders will have the military power to hold at risk U.S. interest in East Asia. The U.S. needs to fashion a new and competitive strategy, one that better matches the strengths of the U.S. and its allies against China's vulnerabilities, in order to maintain a balance of power in the region and convince China's...

The Roots of Mao's Pro-Soviet Policy before 1937 --CCP-Moscow Relations during the Anti-Japanese War, 1937-1945 --From Enemies to Friends: CCP Policy toward the United States before Pearl Harbor --Courting the Americans: The CCP's United Front Policy toward the U.S., 1942-1945 --Postwar Alignment: CCP-Moscow versus GMD-Washington in Manchuria, August-December 1945 --Mao Deals with George Marshall, November 1945-December 1946 --The CCP and the Cold War in Asia: Mao's "Intermediate-Zone" Theory and the Anti-American United Front, 1946-1947 --Mao's Revolutionary Diplomacy and the Cold War in Asia, 1948-1949.

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