Suchergebnisse

Trotz seiner Instabilität zeigt das politische System Italiens große Kontinuität. Die Faktoren von Instabilität (Zahl der Parteien, rapider sozialer Wandel, häufige Regierungswechsel) und Muster von Kontinuität (ständige Mehrheit der Christdemokraten, personelle Kontinuität der Regierungsmitglieder) werden untersucht. Stabile Koalitionen zeigen Tendenzen zum Zwei-Parteien-System. Faktoren des Wandels sind Wählerverhalten und sich ändernde Wählerinteressen, analysiert anhand der Wahlresultate der 70er Jahre. Die Strategie des 'historischen Kompromisses' zwischen Kommunisten und Christdemokraten wird durch die der wechselnden Koalitionen der Sozialistischen Partei durchbrochen. Das sichert den Sozialisten entscheidenden Einfluß auf die Regierung. (AuD-Hng)

The elections projections of the 1980 presidential contest by the National Broadcasting Co raised much speculation concerning its possible impact on voting in states where the polls were still open. Research on the subject has started from different assumptions, used different data & methods, & come to different conclusions concerning the real-world effects of early calls. Using district-level voting & demographic data & focusing on deviations from normal voting patterns in 435 congressional districts, it was found that early calls tended to have a small but measurable impact on presidential & congressional turnout, & a somewhat larger impact on depressing the vote for Democratic candidates on both levels. In addition, higher income, white-collar, & better educated voters appear to have been affected to a greater extent. While the overall impact was too small to have affected the outcome of the presidential race, at the Congressional level as many as 14 races were won by margins smaller than the estimated impact of the early call. 4 Tables, 1 Appendix, 11 References. Modified HA.

Item 1022-B, 1022-C (microfiche). ; "Serial no. 98-35." ; Distributed to some depository libraries in microfiche. ; Mode of access: Internet.