The legislative consequences of internal conflict and inter-party divisions
In: Research & politics: R&P, Band 2, Heft 2, S. 205316801558921
ISSN: 2053-1680
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In: Research & politics: R&P, Band 2, Heft 2, S. 205316801558921
ISSN: 2053-1680
In: British journal of political science, Band 46, Heft 3, S. 611-632
ISSN: 1469-2112
Theories often explain intraparty competition based on electoral conditions and intraparty rules. This article further opens this black box by considering intraparty statements of preferences. In particular, it predicts that intraparty preference heterogeneity increases after electoral losses, but that candidates deviating from the party's median receive fewer intraparty votes. Party members grant candidates greater leeway to accommodate competing policy demands when in government. The study tests the hypotheses using a new database of party congress speeches from Germany and France, and uses automated text classification to estimate speakers' relative preferences. The results demonstrate that speeches at party meetings provide valuable insights into actors' preferences and intraparty politics. The article finds evidence of a complex relationship between the governing context, the economy and intraparty disagreement.
In: Electoral Studies, Band 37, S. 15-27
In: Electoral studies: an international journal, Band 37, Heft 1, S. 15-27
ISSN: 0261-3794
In: Electoral studies: an international journal, Band 37, S. 15-27
ISSN: 0261-3794
In: Electoral Studies, Band 37, S. 15-27
Recent advances to the theory of issue ownership suggest that voters change their impressions of parties' competencies in response to parties' experiences in government. We add that parties' evaluations depend on their success in fostering a cohesive image by managing diverse intra-party interests. We predict that voters' impressions of parties' internal discord negatively affect their assessments of parties' policy competencies. Furthermore, voters' choice of parties will also depend on perceptions of the parties' coherence and competence. Using individual-level analysis of party evaluations in Germany, we test predictions from our theory using a new survey that contains questions on parties' policy coherence and issue competence. The results hold important implications for the study of intra-party politics, issue competition and vote choice. [Copyright Elsevier Ltd.]