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This thought provoking book is concerned with the need to deal adequately with uncertainty in environmental decision making. The author advances a critique of the use of traditional models and then develops an alternative model of decision making under uncertainty, based on the work of George Shackle

The objective of this paper is to quantify the economic effects of the introduction of a system of tradable permits in the European Union (EU). For this purpose we use linked applied general equilibrium models (AGE) for eleven EU member countries. This method enables us to measure the change in competitiveness for domestic industries, the impact on growth, employment and inflation in member countries, and the cost and benefits of a cooperative approach to adhere to a EU target of emissions of air pollutants. The results we will present are first results from the SOLVGE/GEM-E3 Projekt. GEM-E3 stands for General Equilibrium Modeling for Energy - Economy - Environment, a joint undertaking of NTUA-Athens (P. Capros, P. Georgakopoulos), CESKULeuven (S. Proost and D. Van Regemorter), Univ. Mannheim and ZEW (K. Conrad and T. Schmidt), GEMME-CEA (N. Ladoux), Univ. Strathclyde (P. MacGregor), CORE-UCL (Y. Smeers), With respect to a policy on greenhouse gases we will quantify the economic impact for the, EU by introducing a EU-wide tradable permit system, free of charge and based on the present energy intensity and energy mix. Under growth there will be a positive market price for permits with demand by countries where the cost of substitution are high and supply by those countries where the cost of substitution are low. We will measure economic performance and trade flows under a noncoordinated CO2 policy where each country limits the emission of CO2 by 10% and will compare the result with a cooperative outcome where the European Union as a decision maker aims at reducing CO2 by 10%.

This paper traces the evolution of the application of the complexity sciences in the literature of public administration and public policy. A four stage evolutionary model is used to track the development of this literature. The evolution of the literature has now reached a third evolutionary stage. This third stage is a proliferant stage in the development of the literature in which applications and knowledge production has increased dramatically.

Fiscal centralism affects central—local relations in more ways than simply constraining local autonomy. In the case of the Netherlands, central—local policy communities, in which nongovernmental organizations may play a significant role, divide local policymaking into sectors. Responsiveness to local requirements is highly skewed. Decentralization to improve local policymaking is frustrated by the urge for equality in this one-constituency state. The pillarization in the formative decades of the welfare state contributed to the development of this characteristic of the Dutch polity. These central—local relations are not conducive to innovation, which is required for local implementation of environmental policy. Sectoral boundaries preclude the essential integration of this policy. Municipal development plans, essentially designed to improve local resources, defy centrally devised norms and even prevent proper application of environmental impact assessments in central government's decisions on motorways.

This important new book enhances our understanding of the dynamic interactions between economic activity, economic growth, pollution abatement and environmental policy. It addresses one main policy problem: how can the direct and indirect costs of environmental policy for multiple pollutants be properly assessed in an applied model? Using an original methodology, the author constructs a multi-sectoral dynamic applied general equilibrium model. This new integrated model greatly improves the empirical analysis of the dynamic reactions of economic agents to pollution control, explicitly taking into account the direct and indirect effects of abatement on the economy and the environment. The author goes on to apply the model to study the costs of various environmental policies including climate change, acidification, eutrophication, smog formation and the dispersion of fine dust. He finds that if environmental policies can be implemented simultaneously and in a cost-effective manner, the economic costs of these policies can be effectively limited through a combination of economic restructuring and adopting technical abatement measures. Modelling the Costs of Environmental Policy will prove essential and enlightening reading for scholars, students and researchers of environmental and resource economics, environmental policy and economic modelling

Political and economic changes in the former socialist countries in the early 90s of the 20th century have not only opened up possibilities for the future democratic development of these countries, but also an opportunity for solving economic, political, social and environmental situation in the context of building a new, market economic system. The unfavorable environmental situation in Serbia is caused by many factors, among which frequent changes in the economic system in the past and inadequate economic and system solutions occupy a significant place. A critical approach to the impact of economic system solutions to the political and institutional arrangements for environmental protection in the SFRY, FRY, Serbia and Montenegro and RS is therefore a suitable starting point for understanding the importance and the need to take a more active approach to solving environmental problems in Serbia. It is also a goal of this work. In addition, solving the problems in the field of environmental protection is crucial for achieving sustainable development and improving the competitiveness of the Serbian economy.

While the determinants of child marriage among females have been well-documented, there is a lack of research on the determinants of child marriage among males. In Vietnam, where child marriage persists despite legal restrictions, understanding the profile of child grooms and brides is crucial for developing effective interventions. This study aims to bridge the gap in the literature by using Cox proportional hazards regression models to investigate the determinants of child marriage among males and females. The findings of this research reveal that higher levels of education, ideally extending up to upper secondary and tertiary levels, can significantly reduce the likelihood of child marriage between the two genders. Additionally, individuals from ethnic minority groups have a much higher likelihood of getting married at an early age compared to those from the majority ethnic groups, with boys from ethnic minority communities facing a disproportionately higher risk compared to girls. Furthermore, men and boys living in the Mekong River Delta region are more prone to getting married early than their peers in the Red River Delta, while girls from the countryside are more likely to enter into child marriage compared to those in urban areas. These findings are crucial for policymakers when designing policy interventions aimed at preventing child marriage, thereby promoting gender equality and protecting children's rights in Vietnam.