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Introduction -- Significant points of group consensus and disagreement -- Russia today -- Drivers of Russia's future -- Economic growth, the price of oil, and the energy sector -- Political system and leadership -- Demography, health, and social issues -- External drivers of Russian futures -- Alternative scenarios for Russia to 2017 -- Putinism without Putin -- A shot in the dark and true dictatorship -- Putinism falls from grace and democracy rises again -- Some tentative conclusions from the scenario exercise -- Trends to watch : signposts for which scenario may emerge -- Final thoughts on U.S. policy tools -- About the author

"This book argues that using social capital to eradicate poverty is less likely to succeed because the mainstream neoinstitutional approach mistakenly assumes that social capital necessarily benefits poor people. This inadequacy calls for a re-assessment of human motivations, institutional dynamics and structural complexity in social capital building. Using ethnographic and participatory methods, this book calls for an exploration of 'unseen' social capital which is intended to challenge the mainstream understanding of 'seen' social capital. As such this book is useful to policy makers and practitioners"--Publisher's description