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Cover Page -- Title Page -- Copyright -- Preface -- I Simple Recursive Models and Path Analysis -- 1 Spurious Correlation: A Causal Interpretation -- 2 Four-Variable Causal Models and Partial Correlations -- 3 Path Coefficients and Path Regressions: Alternative or Complementary Concepts? -- 4 Path Analysis: Sociological Examples -- 5 Causal Inferences, Closed Populations, and Measures of Association -- II Simultaneous-Equation Techniques -- 6 Identification Problems in Economic Model Construction -- 7 Recursive versus Nonrecursive Systems: An Attempt at Synthesis -- 8 The Application of a System of Simultaneous Equations to an Innovation Diffusion Model -- 9 The Choice of Instrumental Variables in the Estimation of Economy-Wide Econometric Models -- 10 Two Theorems on Ceteris Paribus in the Analysis of Dynamic Systems -- 11 Sensitivity Analysis of Arbitrarily Identified Simultaneous-Equation Models -- III The Causal Approach to Measurement Error and Aggregation -- 12 Theory, Deduction, and Rules of Correspondence -- 13 Estimating the Parameters of Path Models Involving Unmeasured Variables -- 14 Multiple Indicator Models Using Lisrel -- 15 Respecification in Multiple Indicator Models -- 16 Multiple Indicators and Complex Causal Models -- 17 Problems of Aggregation -- Author Index -- Subject Index