Can confidence indicators be useful to predict short term real GDP growth?
In: Working paper 133
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In: Working paper 133
In: USC-INET Research Paper No. 18-13
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Working paper
In: ECB Working Paper No. 2073
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Working paper
In: ECB Working Paper No. 1206
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This paper studies the role of wage moderation and labour and product market regulation for employment creation. To this end, labour demand estimates are presented for the five largest euro area countries at the aggregate level and for three macro sectors: manufacturing, construction and services. Estimates are carried out for individual countries as well as for the pooled group of countries. This paper shows that labour cost moderation generally helps employment creation, notwithstanding the fact that elasticities of employment to labour costs vary across the countries and sectors analysed. It also shows that some key institutional/structural variables add to the explanation of labour demand developments. In particular, in some countries and sectors, our results point to a negative link between employment growth, the unemployment benefit replacement rate and product market regulation.
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In: ECB Working Paper No. 2328
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In: ECB Occasional Paper No. 44
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In: ECB Working Paper No. 1410
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In the course of the 1990s, the EU has embarked on an ambitious regulatory reform programme for a number of European network industries, such as telecommunications, energy and transport. This paper analyses the potential benefits of successful reforms in these sectors with a focus on the price effects of regulatory reforms. Following a review of the existing empirical literature in this field, the paper discusses the evolution of the current regulatory framework for network industries in the EU. An empirical analysis of the main determinants of recent price developments in these industries provides evidence that regulatory reform measures had a substantial downward impact on prices in the four sectors under review.
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In: ECB Working Paper No. 2022/2752
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In: ECB Working Paper No. 1343
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In: ECB Occasional Paper No. 113
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