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"Constructing a General Model Accounting for Interstate Rivalry Termination" published on by Oxford University Press.

Considers the question of whether democratic peace & civil society indicate the decline of major interstate war. Rosecrance's 1987 trading state theory is addressed & refined into a more straightforwardly evolutionary case for ongoing shifts in war/peace & trade/development. Next it is shown that if the democratic peace/civil society arguments are on target, major interstate war should disappear as soon as metamorphoses identified with democratization & civil society have fully emerged across all societies & political systems, & that these changes are irreversible. On the other hand, if the slightly altered trading state theory is correct, system type & social metamorphoses are bound up in a web of shifts occurring in military, political, & economic areas that do imply major war is ebbing for reasons other than changes in type of regime. But as long as such warfare remains possible, one must also recognize that while major interstate conflict has decreased in incidence, it has at the same time grown increasingly deadlier & more global in scope & scale. Tables, References. K. Coddon

Explores E.N. Chernykh's Great Migration (C-wave) model for explaining long-term changes in world-system behavior across seven periods of crisis/transformation that occurred between 3500 B.C. & 1300 A.D. to argue that he was wrong to claim there was only one pan-Eurasian crisis in the first millennium B.C. Two such crises are described. It is maintained that it is possible to connect actors widely separated in Eurasian space. However, evidence of indirect linkages between Mediterranean & Chinese security problems does not imply that all actors were involved in exactly the same processes at the same time. Attention is given to both the element of continuity that is found when first millennium crises are compared to last second millennium crises & the impact of the two crises of the first millennium B.C. on the later reorientation of trade patterns in the Near East. Although Chernykh's model is useful for analyzing the onset of Eurasian interdependence, his interpretation & crisis dating need to be revised. Tables, Figures, References. J. Lindroth

Explores E.N. Chernykh's Great Migration (C-wave) model for explaining long-term changes in world-system behavior across seven periods of crisis/transformation that occurred between 3500 B.C. & 1300 A.D. to argue that he was wrong to claim there was only one pan-Eurasian crisis in the first millennium B.C. Two such crises are described. It is maintained that it is possible to connect actors widely separated in Eurasian space. However, evidence of indirect linkages between Mediterranean & Chinese security problems does not imply that all actors were involved in exactly the same processes at the same time. Attention is given to both the element of continuity that is found when first millennium crises are compared to last second millennium crises & the impact of the two crises of the first millennium B.C. on the later reorientation of trade patterns in the Near East. Although Chernykh's model is useful for analyzing the onset of Eurasian interdependence, his interpretation & crisis dating need to be revised. Tables, Figures, References. J. Lindroth

In focusing on the rivalry deescalation problem, an expectancy theory is proposed, & hypotheses are outlined that can be used to discuss the Sino-Soviet case, with emphasis given to events that occurred from the 1970s through the 1990s. Existing knowledge about the Sino-Soviet case is used to determine the degree to which expectancy theory can be utilized. The conclusions suggest that the findings garnered from this study of Sino-Soviet relations have consequences for the development of an evolutionary framework for the study of international relations. 2 Tables, 2 Figures, 34 References. K. Larsen

The evolutionary approach offers a new paradigm for the study of international relations. This approach offers several advantages including evolutionary theory's ability to analyze the increasingly complex, interdependent, & coevolving nature of world politics & the global economy; its emphasis on the present rather than the future; & its capacity to generate new & better political theories. These advantages are highlighted in the papers that follow. Though the various authors do not reach a general consensus regarding the role of evolutionary theory, the ideas presented here strengthen the existing understanding of this new international relations paradigm. The first set of papers focuses on the central questions apparent in the evolutionary approach. The second examines the "bridges" that are evident between evolutionary international relations theory & other frameworks. The third applies evolutionary international relations theory to intergroup rivalry relationships. The fourth outlines the manner in which evolutionary arguments can be applied to the international political economy. K. Larsen

Summarizes the interdependence between long-term economic growth, political leadership, & global war, tracing changes in this relationship over the past millennium. A political science perspective on world-systems analysis is advanced that focuses on waves of political-economic processes rather than on the specific processes of capital accumulation, capitalism, & the core-periphery division of labor. Alternating periods of concentration & deconcentration in the relations between economics & politics are identified & analyzed in terms of K-waves & long cycles. As the world system is not autonomous, linkages between global & regional politics are also explored. 2 Tables, 2 Figures, 61 References. K. Hyatt Stewart

Summarizes the interdependence between long-term economic growth, political leadership, & global war, tracing changes in this relationship over the past millennium. A political science perspective on world-systems analysis is advanced that focuses on waves of political-economic processes rather than on the specific processes of capital accumulation, capitalism, & the core-periphery division of labor. Alternating periods of concentration & deconcentration in the relations between economics & politics are identified & analyzed in terms of K-waves & long cycles. As the world system is not autonomous, linkages between global & regional politics are also explored. 2 Tables, 2 Figures, 61 References. K. Hyatt Stewart

"Systemic Leadership, Energy Considerations, and the Leadership Long-Cycle Perspective" published on by Oxford University Press.

"War Making and the Building of State Capacity: Expanding the Bivariate Relationship" published on by Oxford University Press.

"Analysts continue to debate the nature of the relationship between globalization and global inequality between states, with some arguing that globalization increases inequality, others saying that the relationship is negative, and still others suggesting that the relationship varies over time. There is actually more overlap in these positions than is apparent - an element underlined by our own argument that globalization's effects can be both positive and negative simultaneously. The authors argue that globalization contributes to intra-Northern convergence while it reinforces North-South divergence. An 1870-2000 time-series analysis of the relationships among trade and financial globalization and North-South inequality supports this prediction, while also finding that the effects of globalization are time dependent." (author's abstract)

"Systemic Theories of Conflict" published on by Oxford University Press.

"Major Powers vs. Global Powers: A New Measure of Global Reach and Power Projection Capacity" published on by Oxford University Press.