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World Affairs Online
Environment versus economy policy preferences: follow-up questions reveal substantial heterogeneity within the environmental coalition
In: International journal of public opinion research, Band 34, Heft 4
ISSN: 1471-6909
Forecasting the 2022 French Presidential Election: From a Left–Right Logic to the Quadripolarization of Politics
In: PS: political science & politics, Band 55, Heft 4, S. 697-702
ISSN: 1537-5935
Playing the synthesizer with Canadian data: Adding polls to a structural forecasting model
In: International journal of forecasting, Band 37, Heft 1, S. 289-301
ISSN: 0169-2070
Election forecasts: Cracking the Danish case
In: International journal of forecasting, Band 36, Heft 3, S. 892-898
ISSN: 0169-2070
Democratic Legitimacy or Regional Representation: Support for Upper Chamber Reform in Scotland and Quebec
In: Parliamentary affairs: a journal of comparative politics, Band 71, Heft 4, S. 738-759
ISSN: 1460-2482
Democratic Legitimacy or Regional Representation:Support for Upper Chamber Reform in Scotland and Quebec
In: Medeiros , M , Bol , D & Nadeau , R 2018 , ' Democratic Legitimacy or Regional Representation : Support for Upper Chamber Reform in Scotland and Quebec ' , PARLIAMENTARY AFFAIRS . https://doi.org/10.1093/pa/gsy004
This paper studies support for upper chamber reforms in multinational countries. In his seminal work on the topic, Lijphart (1984) argues that the upper chamber can be used to accommodate minority groups. However, to date, we still know very little about the perception of minority populations of this institution. We explore this topic building upon an original survey experiment conducted in Scotland and Quebec, where there has been a recent debate about reforming the upper chamber. The results demonstrate that the national minorities in the UK and Canada strongly support a reform of the upper chamber. Also, we find that a reform that would increase the democratic legitimacy of the institution is more popular than one that would foster the regional representation of the minority group, even among respondents who report a strong regional identity.
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French popularity functions: Different measures, different determinants?
In: French politics, Band 13, Heft 3, S. 266-286
ISSN: 1476-3427
Explaining French elections: The presidential pivot
In: French politics, Band 13, Heft 1, S. 25-62
ISSN: 1476-3427
Explaining French elections: the presidential pivot
In: French politics, Band 13, Heft 1, S. 25-62
ISSN: 1476-3419
World Affairs Online
French popularity functions: different measures, different determinants?
In: French politics, Band 13, Heft 3, S. 266-286
ISSN: 1476-3419
World Affairs Online
The Chávez vote and the national economy in Venezuela
In: Electoral Studies, Band 32, Heft 3, S. 482-488
French Election Theory: Why Sarkozy Lost
In: Parliamentary affairs: a journal of comparative politics, Band 66, Heft 1, S. 52-68
ISSN: 1460-2482
We review theories of French elections, drawing on a recent general theory developed in our analysis of presidential elections (1988-2007). We offer an explanation for why President Sarkozy was not re-elected in 2012. Two key theoretical variables were involved: one long term-ideological identification-and one short term-economic evaluation. The effect of these variables changed greatly from 2007 to 2012, and together largely account for his loss of almost five percentage-points in second-round vote share. In 2007, he ran as an 'outsider' who galvanised the base of his traditional right party (the UMP), promising to solve the economic problems the country faced. In contrast, in 2012, he ran as an incumbent with a failed record. Thus, he experienced substantial defection from the Gaullist right, as well as more global dissatisfaction with his poor economic leadership, costing him his presidential re-election bid. Adapted from the source document.
The chavez vote and national economy in Venezuela
In: Electoral studies: an international journal, Band 32, Heft 3, S. 482-488
ISSN: 0261-3794
PIGS or not? Economic voting in Southern Europe
In: Electoral Studies, Band 31, Heft 3, S. 472-477