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THIS ARTICLE EXPLORES THE POLICY DECISION MAKING RELEVANCE OF THE FAIRLY WELL-DOCUMENTED PHENOMENON THAT INDIVIDUALS TEND TO MORE TOWARDS RISKIER DECISIONS AFTER GROUP DISCUSSIONS (RISKY SHIFT). THE RESEARCH INCLUDED FOUR HUNDRED AND THIRTY TWO POLICY DECISION MAKERS FROM VARIOUS PARTS OF THE WORLD. DETAILED RESULTS, CONCLVISIONS, AND IMPLICATIONS ARE INCLUDED.

The phenomenon of the risky shift, or the greater likelihood of individuals making risky decisions after they have engaged in group discussions of these decisions, is fairly well documented. However, data from 432 decision-makers from ten nations, collected through methods developed by W. L. Tullar & D. F. Johnson ("Group Decision-Making and the Risky Shift: A Transnational Perspective," Technical Report 48, Rochester: Management Research Center, U of Rochester, 1972) shows consistent moves toward greater risk-avoidance when problems are important & decision-makers initially less cautious. This suggests that risk-acceptance in groups is contingent upon other factors which must be analyzed for each situation. 2 Tables. Modified HA.