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MEASURING EFFECT AND ACTION IN INTERNATIONAL REACTION MODELS, EMPIRICAL MATERIALS FROM THE 1962 CUBAN CRISIS
In: Journal of peace research, Band 3-4, S. 170-188
ISSN: 0022-3433
The Cuban crisis of Oct 1962 may be analyzed from several perspectives. Attention may be focused on the unique characteristics of the situation & sequence of events. The events may be examined to permit relevant comparisons with other crisis situations, both those resolved by war & those eventually resolved by nonviolent means. The conceptual framework for this analysis is a 2-step mediated stimulus-response model in which the acts of 1 nation are considered as inputs to other nations. Such psycho-pol'al variables as perceptions & expressions of hostility are traced over time by content analysis of documents to test the consistency of the model. In the Cuban crisis, both sides tended to perceive rather accurately the nature of the adversary's actions & then acted at an appropriate level. Efforts by either party to delay or reverse the escalation toward conflict were generally perceived as such, & responded to in like manner. IPSA.
THE RADICAL TURN IN THEOLOGY AND ETHICS: WHY IT OCCURRED IN THE 1960'S
In: The annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, Band 387, S. 1-13
ISSN: 0002-7162
The new elements in the moral, intellectual, & religious atmosphere which came to pervade the US during the decade of the 1960's are explored. It is seen that these elements explain why the US found itself in revolutionary circumstances at that particular time. The most widely publicized aspect of the decade's religious history was the emergence of a radical movement in theology & ethics. The over-all ecclesiastical situation has also been profoundly altered, for Protestants, Catholics, & Jews alike. Many ancient modes of thinking were being altered in the 1960's. The changes seem to involve a deep shift in the presuppositional substructures of the Amer mind. They can be designated as metaphysical, moral, & soc: (1) a growing attachment to naturalism or 'secularism' that makes people suspicious of anything supernatural; (2) a creeping (or galloping) awareness of vast contradictions in US life between profession & performance, the ideal & the actual; & (3) increasing doubt re the capacity of present-day ecclesiastical, pol'al, soc, & educ'al instit's to rectify these contradictions. The reasons for these new positions are traced to the impact of sci, relativism & technology which began to be felt already in the 19th cent, & to the state of 'puritanical legalism' in the US which tended to be oblivious to the intellectual revolutions of the modern world. 5 catalysts propelled these changes: (i) The long-developing problems of unregulated Ur growth began to create environmental problems with which US pol'al & fiscal practices could not cope. (ii) Technological developments in agriculture & industry produced migrations of people that led the nat'l electorate to repudiate many of those arrangements that had long maintained the Protestant establishment & the WASP ascendancy in US life. (iii) Rapid technological & sci'fic advancements contributed another vital dimension to the nat'l mood. Their impact was enormously increased by sensational accomplishments that aroused the popular imagination (eg, the manned trip to the moon). (iv) The Cuban missile crisis, continued nuclear testing, attempts to achieve internat'l control of nuclear armaments seemed to underline the tentativity of mankind's earthly existence. (v) The drastic escalation of the war in Vietnam prevented an effective coping with the nation's problems of poverty & Ur dislocation. Modified HA.